Football · Uruguay Segunda · 15/11, 23:30
Prediction: Club Oriental vs Colon FC
Team pages: Club Oriental · Colon FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Club Oriental1.02
Colon FC1.15
1X2
Club Oriental
Draw
Colon FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Oriental
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Colon FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Oriental
2–4–0
Colon FC
(6 last)
- Colon FC0-0Club Oriental
- Club Oriental1-1Colon FC
- Club Oriental0-0Colon FC
- Colon FC0-0Club Oriental
- Club Oriental1-0Colon FC
- Colon FC0-1Club Oriental
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Oriental 1484 · Colon FC 1524
| Club Oriental | Draw | Colon FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colon FC (rating 1484 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Club Oriental: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Oriental | Colon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.2 | 6.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Oriental 2–4–0 Colon FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/26 Uruguay Segunda | Colon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Oriental |
| 28/06/26 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Colon FC |
| 23/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Colon FC |
| 04/10/25 Uruguay Segunda | Colon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Oriental |
| 13/07/25 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Colon FC |
| 23/03/25 Uruguay Segunda | Colon FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Club Oriental |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Oriental | Colon FC |
|---|---|---|
| CA Atenas | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Paysandu FC | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Huracan DPA | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| CA River Plate | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Rentistas | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Oriental
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/10 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 13 | W |
| 20/09 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Colon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 27/10 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/10 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Oriental vs Colon FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colon FC win (38%). Probabilities: Club Oriental 32%, draw 30%, Colon FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Club Oriental vs Colon FC?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Club Oriental 1.02 · Colon FC 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Oriental vs Colon FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.