Football · Uruguay Segunda · 12/11, 20:30

Prediction: CA Atenas vs Club Oriental

Team pages: CA Atenas · Club Oriental

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
CA Atenas1.2
Club Oriental1.2
1X2
35% 29% 35%
CA Atenas Draw Club Oriental
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atenas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWDWDLWL
Club Oriental 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWWDLDLD
Head-to-head
CA Atenas 2–1–3 Club Oriental (6 last)
  • Club Oriental0-1CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas1-2Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental1-1CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas3-1Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental5-0CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas0-1Club Oriental
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atenas 1523 · Club Oriental 1495
CA AtenasDrawClub Oriental
Our model35%30%35%
Market36%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Club Oriental: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA AtenasClub Oriental
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 4.12.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.35.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atenas 2–1–3 Club Oriental

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental0-1
HT 0-0
CA Atenas
20/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas1-2
HT 1-0
Club Oriental
31/05/25
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental1-1
HT 0-1
CA Atenas
09/11/24
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas3-1Club Oriental
21/07/24
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental5-0
HT 0-0
CA Atenas
03/09/23
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas0-1
HT 0-0
Club Oriental

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA AtenasClub Oriental
Colon FC 0-1 L 0-0 D
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 4-0 W 3-2 W
Rentistas 0-3 L 2-0 W
Miramar Misiones 1-1 D 1-3 L
Tacuarembo 1-0 W 1-0 W
Plaza Colonia 0-0 D 2-0 W
CA River Plate 3-2 W 1-3 L
Paysandu FC 0-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Atenas

LWDWDWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 29 L
25/10 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
3-0 4-0 35 W
18/10 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-3 115 L
11/10 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 14 D
04/10 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 76 W
27/09 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 410 D
20/09 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 14 W
13/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 27 D
06/09 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 56 W
30/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 56 L

Club Oriental

WWLWWDLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 95 D
25/10 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 58 L
19/10 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-1 97 D
10/10 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-3 85 L
04/10 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 44 D
27/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 3-2 213 W
20/09 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-0 65 W
12/09 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-3 78 L
06/09 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 103 W
31/08 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atenas vs Club Oriental?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atenas win (35%). Probabilities: CA Atenas 35%, draw 29%, Club Oriental 35%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atenas vs Club Oriental?

The model expects 2.39 goals (CA Atenas 1.2 · Club Oriental 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atenas vs Club Oriental?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.