Football · Panama LPF · 14/11, 02:30

Prediction: Tauro FC vs Alianza FC Panama

Team pages: Tauro FC · Alianza FC Panama

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Tauro FC1.82

Alianza FC Panama0.92

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Tauro FC Draw Alianza FC Panama

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Tauro FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLWD

Alianza FC Panama 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLLLLD

Head-to-head

Tauro FC 1–2–3 Alianza FC Panama (6 last)

Alianza FC Panama2-0Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-1Alianza FC Panama
Alianza FC Panama1-1Tauro FC
Alianza FC Panama2-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC2-1Alianza FC Panama
Alianza FC Panama1-0Tauro FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tauro FC (rating 1537 vs 1456).
H2H favours Alianza FC Panama: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tauro FC	Alianza FC Panama
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.3 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.82 → 1.82	Pinn 1.82
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +8’	1.82	3.72	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC 1–2–3 Alianza FC Panama

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/08/26 Panama LPF	Alianza FC Panama	2-0 HT 1-0	Tauro FC
18/04/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Alianza FC Panama
19/01/26 Panama LPF	Alianza FC Panama	1-1 HT 1-0	Tauro FC
11/10/25 Panama LPF	Alianza FC Panama	2-1 HT 0-0	Tauro FC
21/07/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Alianza FC Panama
27/04/25 Panama LPF	Alianza FC Panama	1-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	15	10	3	2	36	18	33
2	CD Arabe Unido	15	6	6	3	19	15	24
3	UMECIT	15	5	7	3	15	13	22
4	Tauro FC	15	6	3	6	23	17	21
5	Sporting San Miguelito	15	5	5	5	17	17	20
6	Alianza FC Panama	15	3	6	6	14	22	15

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tauro FC	Alianza FC Panama
UMECIT	2-2 D	1-2 L
CD Arabe Unido	3-1 W	1-1 D
Plaza Amador	0-1 L	0-6 L
Sporting San Miguelito	2-0 W	1-3 L
Veraguas CD	1-2 L	1-2 L
San Francisco FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Herrera FC	6-0 W	0-1 L
CD Universitario	1-0 W	0-0 D
Union Cocle	2-0 W	2-2 D
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tauro FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
31/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	2-1	3-1	1	3	W
25/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
20/10	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
04/10	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	3	13	L
27/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	9	4	L
20/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	6-0	4	7	W
13/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W

Alianza FC Panama

DDLDWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
01/11	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-4	0-6	1	4	L
26/10	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	11	4	L
19/10	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
04/10	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
29/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
20/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
14/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
07/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-1	2-2	8	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tauro FC vs Alianza FC Panama?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tauro FC win (58%). Probabilities: Tauro FC 58%, draw 25%, Alianza FC Panama 17%.

How many goals are expected in Tauro FC vs Alianza FC Panama?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Tauro FC 1.82 · Alianza FC Panama 0.92), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tauro FC vs Alianza FC Panama?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.