Football · Panama LPF · 14/11, 02:30

Prediction: UMECIT vs Plaza Amador

Team pages: UMECIT · Plaza Amador

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

UMECIT1.36

Plaza Amador1.16

1X2

40% 29% 31%

UMECIT Draw Plaza Amador

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UMECIT 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWDDD

Plaza Amador 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

UMECIT 1–2–3 Plaza Amador (6 last)

Plaza Amador3-0UMECIT
Plaza Amador3-0UMECIT
UMECIT2-2Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador2-2UMECIT
UMECIT1-0Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador1-0UMECIT

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMECIT 1536 · Plaza Amador 1558

	UMECIT	Draw	Plaza Amador
Our model	40%	29%	31%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Plaza Amador: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMECIT	Plaza Amador
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.46 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.40
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +19’	2.20	3.20	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:54 +13’	2.46	3.40	2.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT 1–2–3 Plaza Amador

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	3-0 HT 0-0	UMECIT
16/05/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	3-0 HT 1-0	UMECIT
10/05/26 Panama LPF	UMECIT	2-2 HT 1-1	Plaza Amador
26/04/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	2-2 HT 0-0	UMECIT
27/01/26 Panama LPF	UMECIT	1-0 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador
02/11/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	1-0 HT 0-0	UMECIT

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	15	10	3	2	36	18	33
2	CD Arabe Unido	15	6	6	3	19	15	24
3	UMECIT	15	5	7	3	15	13	22
4	Tauro FC	15	6	3	6	23	17	21
5	Sporting San Miguelito	15	5	5	5	17	17	20
6	Alianza FC Panama	15	3	6	6	14	22	15

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMECIT	Plaza Amador
Tauro FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 D	1-2 L
CD Arabe Unido	1-1 D	2-0 W
Alianza FC Panama	2-1 W	6-0 W
San Francisco FC	1-0 W	1-4 L
CD Universitario	1-2 L	2-1 W
Union Cocle	1-0 W	2-1 W
Herrera FC	3-1 W	4-1 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-0 W	2-2 D
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 1 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMECIT

DWWWLWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
01/11	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
24/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
19/10	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
03/10	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
27/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-2	8	7	L
22/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	3-1	3-1	2	5	W
08/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
01/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	0	6	D

Plaza Amador

LWDDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
01/11	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	4-0	6-0	3	4	W
25/10	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
18/10	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
04/10	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
27/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
13/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
30/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMECIT vs Plaza Amador?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UMECIT win (40%). Probabilities: UMECIT 40%, draw 29%, Plaza Amador 31%.

How many goals are expected in UMECIT vs Plaza Amador?

The model expects 2.52 goals (UMECIT 1.36 · Plaza Amador 1.16), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in UMECIT vs Plaza Amador?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.