Football · Panama LPF · 14/11, 02:30

Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito vs CD Arabe Unido

Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito · CD Arabe Unido

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Sporting San Miguelito1.14

CD Arabe Unido1.14

1X2

35% 30% 35%

Sporting San Miguelito Draw CD Arabe Unido

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Miguelito 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWLWDW

CD Arabe Unido 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDLDLD

Head-to-head

Sporting San Miguelito 1–2–3 CD Arabe Unido (6 last)

CD Arabe Unido1-0Sporting San Miguelito
CD Arabe Unido1-0Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito0-2CD Arabe Unido
Sporting San Miguelito0-0CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido0-0Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito1-0CD Arabe Unido

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito 1493 · CD Arabe Unido 1539

	Sporting San Miguelito	Draw	CD Arabe Unido
Our model	34%	31%	34%
Market	36%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Arabe Unido (rating 1493 vs 1539).
H2H favours CD Arabe Unido: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Miguelito	CD Arabe Unido
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	5.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.10

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +18’	2.50	3.10	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito 1–2–3 CD Arabe Unido

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 1-0	Sporting San Miguelito
06/04/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
02/02/26 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido
26/10/25 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
11/08/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	0-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
14/04/25 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	15	10	3	2	36	18	33
2	CD Arabe Unido	15	6	6	3	19	15	24
3	UMECIT	15	5	7	3	15	13	22
4	Tauro FC	15	6	3	6	23	17	21
5	Sporting San Miguelito	15	5	5	5	17	17	20
6	Alianza FC Panama	15	3	6	6	14	22	15

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Miguelito	CD Arabe Unido
Plaza Amador	2-1 W	0-2 L
UMECIT	0-0 D	1-1 D
Alianza FC Panama	3-1 W	1-1 D
Tauro FC	0-2 L	1-3 L
Union Cocle	3-1 W	4-1 W
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	3-1 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	3-4 L	1-1 D
San Francisco FC	0-2 L	2-1 W
CD Universitario	1-1 D	0-0 D
Herrera FC	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Miguelito

WDLLDWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
01/11	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/10	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	2-1	3-1	0	4	W
20/10	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
06/10	Union Cocle Panama LPF	3-1	3-1	2	6	W
28/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-2	3-4	3	4	L
15/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
06/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
31/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	3	7	W

CD Arabe Unido

DWWWWDLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
31/10	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	8	3	L
24/10	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	9	7	D
18/10	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
05/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
26/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
19/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
12/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
05/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	7	7	W
30/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito vs CD Arabe Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Miguelito win (35%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito 35%, draw 30%, CD Arabe Unido 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Sporting San Miguelito 1.14 · CD Arabe Unido 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito vs CD Arabe Unido?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.