Football · Serbia Super Liga · 08/11, 13:00
Prediction: FK Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd
Team pages: FK Radnik Surdulica · OFK Beograd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
FK Radnik Surdulica1.27
OFK Beograd0.95
1X2
FK Radnik Surdulica
Draw
OFK Beograd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Radnik Surdulica
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
OFK Beograd
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Radnik Surdulica
3–3–0
OFK Beograd
(6 last)
- OFK Beograd0-0FK Radnik Surdulica
- OFK Beograd1-1FK Radnik Surdulica
- OFK Beograd0-0FK Radnik Surdulica
- FK Radnik Surdulica1-0OFK Beograd
- OFK Beograd1-2FK Radnik Surdulica
- FK Radnik Surdulica5-3OFK Beograd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Radnik Surdulica 1525 · OFK Beograd 1446
| FK Radnik Surdulica | Draw | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Radnik Surdulica (rating 1525 vs 1446).
- H2H favours FK Radnik Surdulica: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Radnik Surdulica | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnik Surdulica 3–3–0 OFK Beograd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Serbia Super Liga | OFK Beograd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 26/04/26 Serbia Super Liga | OFK Beograd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 09/04/26 Serbia Super Liga | OFK Beograd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 08/11/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1-0 HT 0-0 | OFK Beograd |
| 23/10/19 Serbia Cup | OFK Beograd | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 01/02/17 World Club Friendlies | FK Radnik Surdulica | 5-3 HT 3-1 | OFK Beograd |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 6 | 40 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | FK Cukaricki | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 18 |
| 8 | Partizan Belgrade | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 17 |
| 9 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Novi Pazar | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Macva Sabac | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 10 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Radnik Surdulica | OFK Beograd |
|---|---|---|
| FK Radnicki 1923 | 0-1 L | 3-5 L |
| Radnicki Nis | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| IMT Novi Belgrade | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Partizan Belgrade | 4-4 D | 1-3 L |
| FK Zemun | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Crvena Zvezda | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Cukaricki | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Macva Sabac | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Radnik Surdulica (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Radnik Surdulica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/10 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
3-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 14/09 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/09 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
OFK Beograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/08 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Radnik Surdulica win (43%). Probabilities: FK Radnik Surdulica 43%, draw 29%, OFK Beograd 27%.
How many goals are expected in FK Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd?
The model expects 2.22 goals (FK Radnik Surdulica 1.27 · OFK Beograd 0.95), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.