Football · Serbia Super Liga · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: FK Cukaricki vs Radnicki Nis

Team pages: FK Cukaricki · Radnicki Nis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

FK Cukaricki1.65

Radnicki Nis1.14

1X2

48% 26% 25%

FK Cukaricki Draw Radnicki Nis

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Cukaricki 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLDWWD

Radnicki Nis 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Cukaricki 2–3–1 Radnicki Nis (6 last)

Radnicki Nis0-2FK Cukaricki
Radnicki Nis1-2FK Cukaricki
FK Cukaricki1-1Radnicki Nis
FK Cukaricki2-2Radnicki Nis
FK Cukaricki0-2Radnicki Nis
Radnicki Nis2-2FK Cukaricki

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Cukaricki 1525 · Radnicki Nis 1402

	FK Cukaricki	Draw	Radnicki Nis
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	48%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Cukaricki (rating 1525 vs 1402).
H2H favours FK Cukaricki: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Cukaricki	Radnicki Nis
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +7’	1.91	3.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Cukaricki 2–3–1 Radnicki Nis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Serbia Super Liga	Radnicki Nis	0-2 HT 0-2	FK Cukaricki
08/12/25 Serbia Super Liga	Radnicki Nis	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Cukaricki
03/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	1-1 HT 1-0	Radnicki Nis
13/04/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	2-2 HT 0-0	Radnicki Nis
12/03/25 Serbia Cup	FK Cukaricki	0-2 HT 0-0	Radnicki Nis
23/11/24 Serbia Super Liga	Radnicki Nis	2-2 HT 2-1	FK Cukaricki

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	14	13	1	0	37	6	40
2	Vojvodina	14	10	2	2	30	12	32
3	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	13	8	2	3	21	11	26
4	FK Radnicki 1923	14	7	2	5	21	16	23
5	IMT Novi Belgrade	14	6	4	4	15	9	22
6	FK Cukaricki	14	5	4	5	19	20	19
7	Mladost Lucani	13	4	6	3	12	18	18
8	Partizan Belgrade	14	5	2	7	24	24	17
9	FK Radnik Surdulica	13	4	5	4	17	17	17
10	FK Novi Pazar	14	4	4	6	13	16	16
11	OFK Beograd	14	2	5	7	14	25	11
12	FK Macva Sabac	14	2	4	8	11	25	10
13	Radnicki Nis	13	2	2	9	9	23	8
14	FK Zemun	14	1	3	10	7	28	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Cukaricki	Radnicki Nis
IMT Novi Belgrade	0-0 D	0-0 D
Partizan Belgrade	2-0 W	2-3 L
FK Macva Sabac	2-2 D	0-1 L
FK Novi Pazar	1-1 D	0-2 L
FK Radnik Surdulica	1-3 L	0-3 L
Vojvodina	0-5 L	1-4 L
Crvena Zvezda	0-4 L	0-3 L
OFK Beograd	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FK Cukaricki (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Cukaricki

WLLLDLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/10	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/10	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
10/10	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
20/09	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-2	0	7	L
12/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
05/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-3	1-3	6	6	L
29/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-5	12	4	L
23/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
15/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

Radnicki Nis

DLDLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
23/10	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
16/10	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-3	3	7	L
11/10	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-2	1-4	6	4	L
20/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
13/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
05/09	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
29/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	1	8	D
22/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
16/08	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Cukaricki vs Radnicki Nis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Cukaricki win (48%). Probabilities: FK Cukaricki 48%, draw 26%, Radnicki Nis 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Cukaricki vs Radnicki Nis?

The model expects 2.79 goals (FK Cukaricki 1.65 · Radnicki Nis 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Cukaricki vs Radnicki Nis?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.