Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 02/11, 18:00

Prediction: MS Ashdod vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Team pages: MS Ashdod · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
MS Ashdod1.49
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1.4
1X2
38% 27% 35%
MS Ashdod Draw Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
MS Ashdod 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
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Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MS Ashdod 1619 · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1579
MS AshdodDrawBnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Our model38%27%35%
Market38%27%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MS Ashdod (rating 1619 vs 1579).
  • High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MS AshdodBnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.62.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.21.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 54.3 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.15.1 / 0.4

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MS Ashdod 11911 23828
2 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 11830 26927
3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 11722 261823
4 Hapoel Rishon Lezion 12642 211522
5 Hapoel Afula 12633 191521
6 Hapoel Raanana 11614 221419
7 SC Kiryat Yam 11614 282119
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 12534 211518
9 Maccabi Achi Nazareth 12426 152114
10 SC Kfar Qasim 12417 151513
11 Hapoel Kfar Saba 11407 172412
12 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 12255 111411
13 Ironi Modiin 11326 152311
14 Maccabi Herzliya 12246 101510
15 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 11308 8229
16 Hapoel Akko 120210 2302

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMS AshdodBnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
SC Kfar Qasim 1-0 W 1-0 W
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0-0 D 2-1 W
Hapoel Kfar Saba 4-2 W 2-1 W
Maccabi Herzliya 1-0 W 1-1 D
Ironi Modiin 3-1 W 4-2 W
Hapoel Rishon Lezion 3-2 W 0-0 D
Hapoel Akko 4-0 W 3-0 W
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 4-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 7 W 1 D 0 L 6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MS Ashdod (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MS Ashdod

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 SC Kfar Qasim
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 1-0 55 W
16/10 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-0 74 D
12/10 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israel Leumit Liga
2-1 4-2 34 W
01/10 Maccabi Herzliya
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 1-0 53 W
24/09 Ironi Modiin
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 3-1 35 W
17/09 Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 3-2 48 W
14/09 Hapoel Akko
Israel Leumit Liga
2-0 4-0 97 W
06/09 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israel Leumit Liga
2-0 4-0 47 W
31/08 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel Leumit Liga
2-0 2-1 33 W
24/08 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 1-0 74 W

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 SC Kiryat Yam
Israel Leumit Liga
2-1 5-1 94 W
19/10 Hapoel Raanana
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 1-1 74 D
09/10 SC Kfar Qasim
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 1-0 38 W
01/10 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 2-1 94 W
28/09 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 2-1 75 W
17/09 Maccabi Herzliya
Israel Leumit Liga
1-0 1-1 76 D
10/09 Ironi Modiin
Israel Leumit Liga
3-0 4-2 95 W
07/09 Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Israel Leumit Liga
0-0 0-0 89 D
31/08 Hapoel Akko
Israel Leumit Liga
2-0 3-0 76 W
23/08 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israel Leumit Liga
1-1 3-1 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MS Ashdod vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MS Ashdod win (38%). Probabilities: MS Ashdod 38%, draw 27%, Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 35%.

How many goals are expected in MS Ashdod vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv?

The model expects 2.89 goals (MS Ashdod 1.49 · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MS Ashdod vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.