Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 06/11, 14:00

Prediction: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth

Team pages: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv · Maccabi Achi Nazareth

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv2.44

Maccabi Achi Nazareth0.92

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Draw Maccabi Achi Nazareth

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWDWL

Maccabi Achi Nazareth 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWLDW

Head-to-head

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2–4–0 Maccabi Achi Nazareth (6 last)

Maccabi Achi Nazareth2-2Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1-1Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Maccabi Achi Nazareth0-0Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv0-0Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv5-1Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Maccabi Achi Nazareth1-6Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1557 · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 1506

	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	Draw	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (rating 1557 vs 1506).
H2H favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv: 2-4-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.9	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	5.7 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)2.00

2 (+1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Pinn 1.30
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.32 ★
2	7.50 → 7.50	Pinn 7.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:57 +5’	1.27	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:56 +7’	1.30	5.32	7.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2–4–0 Maccabi Achi Nazareth

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/23 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	2-2 HT 1-0	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
16/12/22 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	1-1 HT 0-0	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
07/03/22 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	0-0 HT 0-0	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
03/12/21 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
18/05/15 Israel Leumit Liga Play-Offs	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	5-1 HT 2-1	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
02/02/15 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	1-6 HT 1-3	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	12	10	1	1	26	9	31
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	12	8	3	1	27	12	27
3	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	12	8	2	2	29	20	26
4	Hapoel Raanana	12	7	1	4	25	16	22
5	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	12	6	4	2	21	15	22
6	Hapoel Afula	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
7	SC Kiryat Yam	12	6	1	5	30	24	19
8	Maccabi Bnei Raina	12	5	3	4	21	15	18
9	Hapoel Kfar Saba	12	5	0	7	20	24	15
10	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	12	4	2	6	15	21	14
11	SC Kfar Qasim	12	4	1	7	15	15	13
12	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	12	2	5	5	11	14	11
13	Ironi Modiin	12	3	2	7	17	26	11
14	Maccabi Herzliya	12	2	4	6	10	15	10
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	12	3	0	9	8	25	9
16	Hapoel Akko	12	0	2	10	2	30	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	Maccabi Achi Nazareth
SC Kfar Qasim	1-0 W	3-2 W
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2-1 W	2-2 D
Hapoel Kfar Saba	2-1 W	0-4 L
Maccabi Herzliya	1-1 D	2-1 W
Ironi Modiin	4-2 W	1-2 L
Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0-0 D	0-1 L
Hapoel Akko	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

WDWDWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
23/10	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	5-1	9	4	W
19/10	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
09/10	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
01/10	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
28/09	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
17/09	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
10/09	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	3-0	4-2	9	5	W
07/09	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	8	9	D
31/08	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	3-0	7	6	W

Maccabi Achi Nazareth

WLDWLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-2	3	10	W
23/10	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-2	4	7	D
16/10	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-4	5	8	L
09/10	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
01/10	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
24/09	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
17/09	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-0	5	11	W
10/09	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	3-3	4	5	D
06/09	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
30/08	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-1	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv win (70%). Probabilities: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 70%, draw 18%, Maccabi Achi Nazareth 12%.

How many goals are expected in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2.44 · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.