Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 06/11, 14:00

Prediction: Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Team pages: Maccabi Herzliya · Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Maccabi Herzliya1.53

Hapoel Kfar Shalem1.81

1X2

32% 25% 43%

Maccabi Herzliya Draw Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Herzliya 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Hapoel Kfar Shalem 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Maccabi Herzliya 4–1–1 Hapoel Kfar Shalem (6 last)

Maccabi Herzliya4-2Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Maccabi Herzliya2-2Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0-2Maccabi Herzliya
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0-2Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Herzliya2-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-1Maccabi Herzliya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Herzliya 1451 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1586

	Maccabi Herzliya	Draw	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Our model	32%	25%	43%
Market	31%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Kfar Shalem (rating 1451 vs 1586).
H2H favours Maccabi Herzliya: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Herzliya	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	2.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	90/0/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.9	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.17 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.53
2	2.15 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +3’	2.75	3.50	2.15
12:53 +12’	2.88▲	3.50	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:40 +24’	3.17	3.53	2.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Herzliya 4–1–1 Hapoel Kfar Shalem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	4-2 HT 0-2	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
06/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	2-2 HT 1-0	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
05/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0-2 HT 0-0	Maccabi Herzliya
07/04/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0-2 HT 0-1	Maccabi Herzliya
14/02/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	2-1 HT 1-1	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
21/10/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2-1 HT 1-0	Maccabi Herzliya

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	12	10	1	1	26	9	31
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	12	8	3	1	27	12	27
3	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	12	8	2	2	29	20	26
4	Hapoel Raanana	12	7	1	4	25	16	22
5	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	12	6	4	2	21	15	22
6	Hapoel Afula	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
7	SC Kiryat Yam	12	6	1	5	30	24	19
8	Maccabi Bnei Raina	12	5	3	4	21	15	18
9	Hapoel Kfar Saba	12	5	0	7	20	24	15
10	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	12	4	2	6	15	21	14
11	SC Kfar Qasim	12	4	1	7	15	15	13
12	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	12	2	5	5	11	14	11
13	Ironi Modiin	12	3	2	7	17	26	11
14	Maccabi Herzliya	12	2	4	6	10	15	10
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	12	3	0	9	8	25	9
16	Hapoel Akko	12	0	2	10	2	30	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Herzliya	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Maccabi Bnei Raina	1-1 D	2-1 W
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	0-1 L	3-1 W
Hapoel Afula	0-0 D	3-3 D
Maccabi Achi Nazareth	1-2 L	3-3 D
MS Ashdod	0-1 L	0-4 L
SC Kiryat Yam	1-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Kfar Shalem (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Herzliya

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
23/10	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
16/10	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
09/10	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
01/10	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
24/09	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-3	2	8	L
17/09	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
14/09	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/09	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
30/08	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-2	6	6	L

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-2	4	7	W
23/10	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-0	10	4	W
19/10	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	4-0	4	4	W
12/10	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
01/10	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
28/09	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-1	4	9	W
17/09	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	3-3	4	5	D
10/09	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	3-3	3	5	D
06/09	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-4	3	7	L
30/08	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	3-2	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Kfar Shalem win (43%). Probabilities: Maccabi Herzliya 32%, draw 25%, Hapoel Kfar Shalem 43%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Maccabi Herzliya 1.53 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1.81), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.