Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 09/11, 18:00

Prediction: Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Akko

Team pages: Ironi Modiin · Hapoel Akko

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Ironi Modiin1.55

Hapoel Akko1.05

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Ironi Modiin Draw Hapoel Akko

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ironi Modiin 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWLWLL

Hapoel Akko 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLLD

Head-to-head

Ironi Modiin 1–1–1 Hapoel Akko (3 last)

Ironi Modiin0-1Hapoel Akko
Hapoel Akko0-0Ironi Modiin
Ironi Modiin1-0Hapoel Akko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ironi Modiin 1461 · Hapoel Akko 1420

	Ironi Modiin	Draw	Hapoel Akko
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ironi Modiin (rating 1461 vs 1420).
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ironi Modiin	Hapoel Akko
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	0.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.8	1.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	6.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.83▲	Pinn 2.09 ★
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	3.80 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:18 +5’	1.73	3.60	3.80
06:15 +10’	1.75▲	3.60	3.75▼
14:42 +18’	1.83▲	3.50▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +7’	1.98	3.27	3.38
04:24 +57’	2.01▲	3.35▲	3.46▲
14:47 +13’	2.09▲	3.29▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ironi Modiin 1–1–1 Hapoel Akko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Ironi Modiin	0-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Akko
16/01/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Akko	0-0 HT 0-0	Ironi Modiin
14/09/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Ironi Modiin	1-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Akko

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	13	10	1	2	26	13	31
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	13	9	3	1	29	13	30
3	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	13	9	2	2	30	20	29
4	Hapoel Raanana	13	8	1	4	27	17	25
5	SC Kiryat Yam	13	7	1	5	34	24	22
6	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	13	6	4	3	22	17	22
7	Hapoel Afula	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
8	Maccabi Bnei Raina	12	5	3	4	21	15	18
9	Hapoel Kfar Saba	12	5	0	7	20	24	15
10	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	13	3	5	5	13	15	14
11	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	13	4	2	7	16	23	14
12	SC Kfar Qasim	12	4	1	7	15	15	13
13	Ironi Modiin	12	3	2	7	17	26	11
14	Maccabi Herzliya	13	2	4	7	10	16	10
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	13	3	0	10	9	27	9
16	Hapoel Akko	12	0	2	10	2	30	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ironi Modiin	Hapoel Akko
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2-3 L	0-4 L
Maccabi Bnei Raina	0-6 L	0-0 D
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	2-0 W	0-1 L
Hapoel Afula	1-2 L	0-3 L
Maccabi Achi Nazareth	2-1 W	0-1 L
MS Ashdod	1-3 L	0-4 L
SC Kiryat Yam	2-3 L	0-5 L
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	2-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Ironi Modiin (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ironi Modiin

DDLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-3	1	7	L
23/10	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-4	0-6	1	2	L
16/10	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/10	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	4	11	L
01/10	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
24/09	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
17/09	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	2-3	6	4	L
10/09	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-3	2-4	3	5	L
07/09	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
30/08	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	6	9	D

Hapoel Akko

LLLLLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-2	4	8	D
23/10	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
19/10	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-4	5	4	L
09/10	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
01/10	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
24/09	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-3	10	6	L
17/09	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	4	11	L
14/09	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-4	0	7	L
06/09	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-5	4	3	L
31/08	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-3	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Akko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ironi Modiin win (48%). Probabilities: Ironi Modiin 48%, draw 27%, Hapoel Akko 25%.

How many goals are expected in Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Akko?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Ironi Modiin 1.55 · Hapoel Akko 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Akko?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.