Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 07/11, 21:00

Prediction: Atlantico FC vs Universidad O&M

Team pages: Atlantico FC · Universidad O&M

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Atlantico FC0.9

Universidad O&M2.32

1X2

13% 19% 69%

Atlantico FC Draw Universidad O&M

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantico FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLLLWL

Universidad O&M 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Atlantico FC 2–3–1 Universidad O&M (6 last)

Universidad O&M0-2Atlantico FC
Atlantico FC2-1Universidad O&M
Atlantico FC1-1Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M0-0Atlantico FC
Universidad O&M0-0Atlantico FC
Atlantico FC0-2Universidad O&M

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantico FC 1441 · Universidad O&M 1499

	Atlantico FC	Draw	Universidad O&M
Our model	12%	20%	68%
Market	13%	18%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad O&M (rating 1441 vs 1499).
H2H favours Atlantico FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantico FC	Universidad O&M
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.2	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

17.00

X5.00

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:08 +9’	7.00	5.00	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantico FC 2–3–1 Universidad O&M

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/12/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-2 HT 0-1	Atlantico FC
27/09/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Universidad O&M
04/08/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Universidad O&M
13/07/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-0 HT 0-0	Atlantico FC
05/05/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-0 HT 0-0	Atlantico FC
03/04/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Universidad O&M

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantico FC	Universidad O&M
Moca FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Atletico Vega Real	2-1 W	0-1 L
Delfines Del Este	1-3 L	0-0 D
Salcedo FC	1-6 L	1-2 L
Cibao FC	1-4 L	3-2 W
Jarabacoa FC	0-2 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad O&M (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantico FC

WDDLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
24/10	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-3	4	2	L
13/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-3	0-5	2	4	L
06/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-3	1-6	4	4	L
29/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-3	1-4	3	6	L
25/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
17/12	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
14/12	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-0	1	3	W

Universidad O&M

DWWDLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
23/10	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-3	3-4	5	6	L
18/10	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
11/10	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
03/10	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
27/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
21/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
30/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantico FC vs Universidad O&M?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad O&M win (69%). Probabilities: Atlantico FC 13%, draw 19%, Universidad O&M 69%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantico FC vs Universidad O&M?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Atlantico FC 0.9 · Universidad O&M 2.32), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantico FC vs Universidad O&M?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.