Football · Senegal Premier League · 01/11, 17:30

Prediction: Guediawaye FC vs Casa Sport

Team pages: Guediawaye FC · Casa Sport

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Guediawaye FC1.01
Casa Sport0.82
1X2
38% 34% 28%
Guediawaye FC Draw Casa Sport
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Guediawaye FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDLDLLWLWD
Casa Sport 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDDLWWDLDL
Head-to-head
Guediawaye FC 3–2–1 Casa Sport (6 last)
  • Casa Sport1-1Guediawaye FC
  • Guediawaye FC2-0Casa Sport
  • Casa Sport0-0Guediawaye FC
  • Guediawaye FC2-3Casa Sport
  • Casa Sport0-1Guediawaye FC
  • Guediawaye FC1-0Casa Sport
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guediawaye FC 1491 · Casa Sport 1467
Guediawaye FCDrawCasa Sport
Our model38%35%27%
Market38%34%28%
Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Guediawaye FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guediawaye FCCasa Sport
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 10.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.31 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/50/17%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.72 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guediawaye FC 3–2–1 Casa Sport

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Senegal Premier League
Casa Sport1-1Guediawaye FC
21/12/25
Senegal Premier League
Guediawaye FC2-0
HT 2-0
Casa Sport
26/06/25
Senegal Premier League
Casa Sport0-0Guediawaye FC
08/02/25
Senegal Premier League
Guediawaye FC2-3
HT 2-1
Casa Sport
03/03/24
Senegal Premier League
Casa Sport0-1Guediawaye FC
04/11/23
Senegal Premier League
Guediawaye FC1-0
HT 1-0
Casa Sport

Standings · Senegal Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASC HLM 3210 647
2 Generation Foot 2110 304
3 ASC Jaraaf 2110 424
4 Walidaan DKR 2110 204
4 US Goree 2110 204
6 Guediawaye FC 2110 214
7 Diambars FC 2101 113
8 Ajel de Rufisque 2020 112
9 Stade de Mbour 3021 232
10 AS Dakar Sacre Coeur 2011 121
11 Essamaye FC 2011 011
12 Casa Sport 2011 241
13 AS Pikine 2011 031
14 Teungueth FC 0000 000
15 US Ouakam 1001 130
16 ASC Linguere 1001 020

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuediawaye FCCasa Sport
AS Dakar Sacre Coeur 2-1 W 1-2 L
Walidaan DKR 2-3 L 0-2 L
ASC HLM 1-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Guediawaye FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guediawaye FC

DDLDLLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Stade de Mbour
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 34 D
17/10 AS Dakar Sacre Coeur
Senegal Premier League
1-1 2-1 33 W
04/06 Teungueth FC
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-1 22 L
22/05 Stade de Mbour
Senegal Premier League
2-0 2-0 13 W
17/05 Walidaan DKR
Senegal Premier League
– 2-3 –– L
13/05 Ajel de Rufisque
Senegal Premier League
0-1 0-1 53 L
10/05 US Ouakam
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
03/05 ASC HLM
Senegal Premier League
1-0 1-2 25 L
25/04 AS Camberene
Senegal Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
19/04 Casa Sport
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D

Casa Sport

DDDLWWDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Walidaan DKR
Senegal Premier League
– 0-2 –– L
17/10 ASC HLM
Senegal Premier League
2-1 2-2 55 D
04/06 AS Dakar Sacre Coeur
Senegal Premier League
– 1-2 –– L
22/05 ASC Jaraaf
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 04 D
17/05 AS Pikine
Senegal Premier League
– 1-0 –– W
13/05 SONACOS
Senegal Premier League
– 3-0 –– W
10/05 Generation Foot
Senegal Premier League
– 1-2 –– L
03/05 ASC Linguere
Senegal Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
26/04 US Goree
Senegal Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
19/04 Guediawaye FC
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guediawaye FC vs Casa Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guediawaye FC win (38%). Probabilities: Guediawaye FC 38%, draw 34%, Casa Sport 28%.

How many goals are expected in Guediawaye FC vs Casa Sport?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Guediawaye FC 1.01 · Casa Sport 0.82), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Guediawaye FC vs Casa Sport?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.