Football · Senegal Premier League · 08/11, 17:30
Prediction: Teungueth FC vs ASC HLM
Team pages: Teungueth FC · ASC HLM
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.39Total
Teungueth FC0.91
ASC HLM0.47
1X2
Teungueth FC
Draw
ASC HLM
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
0-0 26%
Recent form · 10 last
Teungueth FC
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
ASC HLM
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Teungueth FC
3–2–0
ASC HLM
(5 last)
- Teungueth FC1-0ASC HLM
- Teungueth FC0-0ASC HLM
- ASC HLM0-0Teungueth FC
- ASC HLM0-2Teungueth FC
- Teungueth FC2-1ASC HLM
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Teungueth FC 1567 · ASC HLM 1525
| Teungueth FC | Draw | ASC HLM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Market | 47% | 33% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.39 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teungueth FC (rating 1567 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Teungueth FC: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Teungueth FC | ASC HLM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/57/0% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Teungueth FC 3–2–0 ASC HLM
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Senegal Premier League | Teungueth FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | ASC HLM |
| 18/03/26 Senegal League Cup | Teungueth FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASC HLM |
| 28/12/25 Senegal Premier League | ASC HLM | 0-0 | Teungueth FC |
| 02/03/25 Senegal Premier League | ASC HLM | 0-2 | Teungueth FC |
| 19/10/24 Senegal Premier League | Teungueth FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | ASC HLM |
Standings · Senegal Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Goree | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | ASC Jaraaf | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | ASC HLM | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Ajel de Rufisque | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Generation Foot | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Guediawaye FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Teungueth FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Walidaan DKR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Diambars FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | AS Pikine | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Stade de Mbour | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Casa Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Essamaye FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | ASC Linguere | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | US Ouakam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Teungueth FC | ASC HLM |
|---|---|---|
| AS Pikine | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Guediawaye FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Stade de Mbour | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Teungueth FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | AS Pikine Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Walidaan DKR Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | ASC HLM Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | AS Camberene Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
ASC HLM
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Diambars FC Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Casa Sport Senegal Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 04/06 | AS Pikine Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | SONACOS Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Generation Foot Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Teungueth FC vs ASC HLM?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Teungueth FC win (45%). Probabilities: Teungueth FC 45%, draw 36%, ASC HLM 19%.
How many goals are expected in Teungueth FC vs ASC HLM?
The model expects 1.39 goals (Teungueth FC 0.91 · ASC HLM 0.47), with a 59% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Teungueth FC vs ASC HLM?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.