Football · Senegal Premier League · 08/11, 18:00
Prediction: Guediawaye FC vs ASC Linguere
Team pages: Guediawaye FC · ASC Linguere
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.77Total
Guediawaye FC0.99
ASC Linguere0.78
1X2
Guediawaye FC
Draw
ASC Linguere
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Guediawaye FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
ASC Linguere
0-6-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guediawaye FC
1–4–1
ASC Linguere
(6 last)
- ASC Linguere1-3Guediawaye FC
- Guediawaye FC0-0ASC Linguere
- Guediawaye FC1-2ASC Linguere
- ASC Linguere2-2Guediawaye FC
- ASC Linguere0-0Guediawaye FC
- Guediawaye FC0-0ASC Linguere
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guediawaye FC 1490 · ASC Linguere 1443
| Guediawaye FC | Draw | ASC Linguere | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 36% | 26% |
| Market | 39% | 34% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.77 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guediawaye FC (rating 1490 vs 1443).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guediawaye FC | ASC Linguere | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/57/14% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guediawaye FC 1–4–1 ASC Linguere
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Senegal Premier League | ASC Linguere | 1-3 | Guediawaye FC |
| 16/11/25 Senegal Premier League | Guediawaye FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASC Linguere |
| 26/04/25 Senegal Premier League | Guediawaye FC | 1-2 | ASC Linguere |
| 01/12/24 Senegal Premier League | ASC Linguere | 2-2 | Guediawaye FC |
| 28/04/24 Senegal Premier League | ASC Linguere | 0-0 | Guediawaye FC |
| 17/12/23 Senegal Premier League | Guediawaye FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASC Linguere |
Standings · Senegal Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Goree | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | ASC Jaraaf | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | ASC HLM | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Ajel de Rufisque | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Generation Foot | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Guediawaye FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Teungueth FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Walidaan DKR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Diambars FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | AS Pikine | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Stade de Mbour | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Casa Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Essamaye FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | ASC Linguere | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | US Ouakam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guediawaye FC | ASC Linguere |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Sport | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Walidaan DKR | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ajel de Rufisque | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| US Ouakam | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| ASC HLM | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| AS Camberene | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 0 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: ASC Linguere (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guediawaye FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Casa Sport Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/06 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Walidaan DKR Senegal Premier League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | ASC HLM Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | AS Camberene Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
ASC Linguere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Generation Foot Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Walidaan DKR Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | ASC HLM Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | AS Camberene Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Casa Sport Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | ASC Jaraaf Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | AS Pikine Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guediawaye FC vs ASC Linguere?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guediawaye FC win (39%). Probabilities: Guediawaye FC 39%, draw 35%, ASC Linguere 27%.
How many goals are expected in Guediawaye FC vs ASC Linguere?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Guediawaye FC 0.99 · ASC Linguere 0.78), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Guediawaye FC vs ASC Linguere?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.