Football · Senegal Premier League · 07/11, 18:00
Prediction: Walidaan DKR vs Ajel de Rufisque
Team pages: Walidaan DKR · Ajel de Rufisque
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.49Total
Walidaan DKR0.8
Ajel de Rufisque0.69
1X2
Walidaan DKR
Draw
Ajel de Rufisque
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 24%
Recent form · 10 last
Walidaan DKR
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Ajel de Rufisque
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Walidaan DKR
0–3–3
Ajel de Rufisque
(6 last)
- Walidaan DKR0-0Ajel de Rufisque
- Ajel de Rufisque0-0Walidaan DKR
- Walidaan DKR0-1Ajel de Rufisque
- Ajel de Rufisque1-0Walidaan DKR
- Ajel de Rufisque3-1Walidaan DKR
- Walidaan DKR0-0Ajel de Rufisque
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Walidaan DKR 1518 · Ajel de Rufisque 1515
| Walidaan DKR | Draw | Ajel de Rufisque | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 39% | 27% |
| Market | 36% | 34% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.49 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ajel de Rufisque: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Walidaan DKR | Ajel de Rufisque | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Walidaan DKR 0–3–3 Ajel de Rufisque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Senegal Premier League | Walidaan DKR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ajel de Rufisque |
| 28/12/25 Senegal Premier League | Ajel de Rufisque | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Walidaan DKR |
| 01/03/25 Senegal Premier League | Walidaan DKR | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ajel de Rufisque |
| 20/10/24 Senegal Premier League | Ajel de Rufisque | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Walidaan DKR |
| 14/04/24 Senegal Ligue 2 | Ajel de Rufisque | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Walidaan DKR |
| 13/05/23 Senegal Ligue 2 | Walidaan DKR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ajel de Rufisque |
Standings · Senegal Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Goree | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | ASC Jaraaf | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | ASC HLM | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Ajel de Rufisque | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Generation Foot | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Guediawaye FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Teungueth FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Walidaan DKR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Diambars FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | AS Pikine | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Stade de Mbour | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Casa Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Essamaye FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | ASC Linguere | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | US Ouakam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Walidaan DKR | Ajel de Rufisque |
|---|---|---|
| ASC Jaraaf | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Stade de Mbour | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| ASC Linguere | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| US Goree | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Guediawaye FC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Teungueth FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ajel de Rufisque (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Walidaan DKR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | ASC Jaraaf Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Casa Sport Senegal Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 04/06 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Ajel de Rufisque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Diambars FC Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Generation Foot Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17/10 | ASC Jaraaf Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 04/06 | Generation Foot Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Walidaan DKR Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Walidaan DKR vs Ajel de Rufisque?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (37%). Probabilities: Walidaan DKR 35%, draw 37%, Ajel de Rufisque 29%.
How many goals are expected in Walidaan DKR vs Ajel de Rufisque?
The model expects 1.49 goals (Walidaan DKR 0.8 · Ajel de Rufisque 0.69), with a 51% chance of under 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Walidaan DKR vs Ajel de Rufisque?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.