Football · Senegal Premier League · 01/11, 18:00

Prediction: ASC Jaraaf vs Walidaan DKR

Team pages: ASC Jaraaf · Walidaan DKR

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.64Total

ASC Jaraaf0.97

Walidaan DKR0.67

1X2

41% 35% 24%

ASC Jaraaf Draw Walidaan DKR

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 50% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

0-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

ASC Jaraaf 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDDWDWDW

Walidaan DKR 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDLWDDDW

Head-to-head

ASC Jaraaf 0–2–2 Walidaan DKR (4 last)

ASC Jaraaf0-1Walidaan DKR
Walidaan DKR1-1ASC Jaraaf
Walidaan DKR1-0ASC Jaraaf
ASC Jaraaf1-1Walidaan DKR

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASC Jaraaf 1533 · Walidaan DKR 1531

	ASC Jaraaf	Draw	Walidaan DKR
Our model	40%	37%	23%
Market	42%	33%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 1.64 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Walidaan DKR: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASC Jaraaf	Walidaan DKR
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.4	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/86/14%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.4	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.70

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.752.02

Under 1.751.77

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:42 +7’	2.15	2.70	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASC Jaraaf 0–2–2 Walidaan DKR

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Senegal Premier League	ASC Jaraaf	0-1 HT 0-1	Walidaan DKR
23/11/25 Senegal Premier League	Walidaan DKR	1-1 HT 0-1	ASC Jaraaf
27/04/25 Senegal Premier League	Walidaan DKR	1-0	ASC Jaraaf
02/12/24 Senegal Premier League	ASC Jaraaf	1-1 HT 0-0	Walidaan DKR

Standings · Senegal Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASC HLM	3	2	1	0	6	4	7
2	Generation Foot	2	1	1	0	3	0	4
3	ASC Jaraaf	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	Walidaan DKR	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
4	US Goree	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
6	Guediawaye FC	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Diambars FC	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
8	Ajel de Rufisque	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
9	Stade de Mbour	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
10	AS Dakar Sacre Coeur	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
11	Essamaye FC	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
12	Casa Sport	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
13	AS Pikine	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
14	Teungueth FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	US Ouakam	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
16	ASC Linguere	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASC Jaraaf	Walidaan DKR
US Ouakam	3-1 W	0-1 L
Ajel de Rufisque	1-1 D	0-0 D
Casa Sport	0-0 D	2-0 W
AS Dakar Sacre Coeur	3-0 W	2-1 W
ASC Linguere	1-0 W	1-1 D
US Goree	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASC Jaraaf (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASC Jaraaf

DWLDDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	US Ouakam Senegal Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
17/10	Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
04/06	AS Camberene Senegal Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	Casa Sport Senegal Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
17/05	AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
13/05	AS Pikine Senegal Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
10/05	SONACOS Senegal Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
02/05	Generation Foot Senegal Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
26/04	ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
18/04	US Goree Senegal Premier League	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Walidaan DKR

LDWDLWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Casa Sport Senegal Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
04/06	ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/05	US Goree Senegal Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W
13/05	Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
10/05	Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
25/04	Ajel de Rufisque Senegal Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
19/04	US Ouakam Senegal Premier League	0-0	0-1	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASC Jaraaf vs Walidaan DKR?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASC Jaraaf win (41%). Probabilities: ASC Jaraaf 41%, draw 35%, Walidaan DKR 24%.

How many goals are expected in ASC Jaraaf vs Walidaan DKR?

The model expects 1.64 goals (ASC Jaraaf 0.97 · Walidaan DKR 0.67), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ASC Jaraaf vs Walidaan DKR?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.