Football · Senegal Premier League · 02/11, 17:30

Prediction: US Goree vs US Ouakam

Team pages: US Goree · US Ouakam

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.53Total
US Goree0.9
US Ouakam0.63
1X2
39% 38% 23%
US Goree Draw US Ouakam
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 23%
Recent form · 10 last
US Goree 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
DDDDLWDDWD
US Ouakam 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDDWDLWL
Head-to-head
US Goree 2–2–2 US Ouakam (6 last)
  • US Ouakam2-0US Goree
  • US Goree0-0US Ouakam
  • US Goree1-0US Ouakam
  • US Ouakam2-2US Goree
  • US Ouakam1-0US Goree
  • US Goree1-0US Ouakam
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Goree 1509 · US Ouakam 1494
US GoreeDrawUS Ouakam
Our model39%38%23%
Market39%37%24%
Estimated total (ours) 1.53 goals · Bet365 line 1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US GoreeUS Ouakam
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 0.51 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 00.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.40.8 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Goree 2–2–2 US Ouakam

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/26
Senegal Premier League
US Ouakam2-0US Goree
24/01/26
Senegal Premier League
US Goree0-0
HT 0-0
US Ouakam
08/03/25
Senegal Premier League
US Goree1-0
HT 1-0
US Ouakam
26/10/24
Senegal Premier League
US Ouakam2-2
HT 2-2
US Goree
12/05/24
Senegal Premier League
US Ouakam1-0
HT 1-0
US Goree
31/12/23
Senegal Premier League
US Goree1-0US Ouakam

Standings · Senegal Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASC HLM 3210 647
2 Generation Foot 2110 304
3 ASC Jaraaf 2110 424
4 Walidaan DKR 2110 204
4 US Goree 2110 204
6 Guediawaye FC 2110 214
7 Diambars FC 2101 113
8 Ajel de Rufisque 2020 112
9 Stade de Mbour 3021 232
10 AS Dakar Sacre Coeur 2011 121
11 Essamaye FC 2011 011
12 Casa Sport 2011 241
13 AS Pikine 2011 031
14 Teungueth FC 0000 000
15 US Ouakam 1001 130
16 ASC Linguere 1001 020

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS GoreeUS Ouakam
ASC Linguere 2-0 W 1-1 D
Stade de Mbour 0-0 D 0-0 D
Walidaan DKR 1-1 D 1-0 W
Ajel de Rufisque 2-1 W 0-1 L
ASC Jaraaf 0-0 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: US Goree (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Goree

DDDDLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 AS Dakar Sacre Coeur
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 41 D
17/10 ASC Linguere
Senegal Premier League
– 2-0 –– W
04/06 Stade de Mbour
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 61 D
22/05 Walidaan DKR
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
17/05 Ajel de Rufisque
Senegal Premier League
– 2-1 –– W
13/05 US Ouakam
Senegal Premier League
– 0-2 –– L
10/05 ASC HLM
Senegal Premier League
1-0 1-1 64 D
03/05 AS Camberene
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 53 D
26/04 Casa Sport
Senegal Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
18/04 ASC Jaraaf
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 65 D

US Ouakam

LWDDDWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 ASC Jaraaf
Senegal Premier League
1-1 1-3 33 L
04/06 SONACOS
Senegal Premier League
0-1 2-1 53 W
22/05 Generation Foot
Senegal Premier League
2-0 2-3 25 L
17/05 ASC Linguere
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
13/05 US Goree
Senegal Premier League
– 2-0 –– W
10/05 Guediawaye FC
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
03/05 Teungueth FC
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D
26/04 Stade de Mbour
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 22 D
19/04 Walidaan DKR
Senegal Premier League
0-0 1-0 13 W
11/04 Ajel de Rufisque
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-1 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Goree vs US Ouakam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Goree win (39%). Probabilities: US Goree 39%, draw 38%, US Ouakam 23%.

How many goals are expected in US Goree vs US Ouakam?

The model expects 1.53 goals (US Goree 0.9 · US Ouakam 0.63), with a 51% chance of under 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in US Goree vs US Ouakam?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.