Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 31/10, 17:00
Prediction: Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar
Team pages: Villa San Carlos · Real Pilar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Villa San Carlos0.96
Real Pilar1
1X2
Villa San Carlos
Draw
Real Pilar
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Villa San Carlos
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Real Pilar
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villa San Carlos
0–1–2
Real Pilar
(3 last)
- Real Pilar1-1Villa San Carlos
- Real Pilar1-0Villa San Carlos
- Villa San Carlos1-2Real Pilar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villa San Carlos 1511 · Real Pilar 1517
| Villa San Carlos | Draw | Real Pilar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 34% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 31% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Pilar: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa San Carlos | Real Pilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa San Carlos 0–1–2 Real Pilar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 20/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 03/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Real Pilar |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 31 | 81 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 55 | 27 | 76 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 69 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
| 6 | Atletico Camioneros | 41 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 41 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 65 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 39 | 62 |
| 9 | Deportivo Laferrere | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 52 | 58 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 35 | 57 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 46 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 40 | 45 | 50 |
| 13 | CSD Flandria | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 49 | 48 |
| 14 | Deportivo Merlo | 41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 48 |
| 15 | Argentino Merlo | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 44 | 47 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 41 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 33 | 40 | 47 |
| 17 | CS Dock Sud | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 49 | 47 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 40 | 45 |
| 19 | Deportivo Liniers | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 43 | 45 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 41 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 25 | 38 | 43 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 41 | 7 | 21 | 13 | 25 | 36 | 42 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 67 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa San Carlos | Real Pilar |
|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Villa Dalmine | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Excursionistas | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Argentino Merlo | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Talleres Remedios | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Brown de Adrogue | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Pilar (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
Real Pilar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 03/10 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Pilar win (35%). Probabilities: Villa San Carlos 33%, draw 32%, Real Pilar 35%.
How many goals are expected in Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Villa San Carlos 0.96 · Real Pilar 1), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.