Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 02/11, 19:00

Prediction: Deportivo Liniers vs CA Ituzaingo

Team pages: Deportivo Liniers · CA Ituzaingo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Deportivo Liniers2.08

CA Ituzaingo0.76

1X2

66% 23% 11%

Deportivo Liniers Draw CA Ituzaingo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Liniers 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLWDDL

CA Ituzaingo 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLDDL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Liniers 1–1–1 CA Ituzaingo (3 last)

CA Ituzaingo1-1Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers1-2CA Ituzaingo
CA Ituzaingo0-1Deportivo Liniers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Liniers 1503 · CA Ituzaingo 1413

	Deportivo Liniers	Draw	CA Ituzaingo
Our model	67%	21%	12%
Market	66%	24%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Liniers (rating 1503 vs 1413).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Liniers	CA Ituzaingo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	1.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X3.80

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:24 +19’	1.36	3.80	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Liniers 1–1–1 CA Ituzaingo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Liniers
12/06/17 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-2 HT 0-0	CA Ituzaingo
06/12/16 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Liniers

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	69	33	81
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	42	21	14	7	56	28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	48	33	72
4	Talleres Remedios	41	20	11	10	46	26	71
5	Atletico Camioneros	42	19	13	10	50	35	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	40	28	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	45	41	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	43	40	63
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50	52	58
10	Club Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39	35	57
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	41	46	51
11	San Martin De Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41	46	51
13	CSD Flandria	42	13	10	19	40	50	49
14	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	40	55	49
15	Argentino Merlo	41	12	11	18	37	44	47
16	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33	40	47
17	CS Dock Sud	41	11	14	16	41	49	47
18	Defensores Unidos	41	10	15	16	34	40	45
19	Deportivo Liniers	41	10	15	16	34	43	45
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	41	9	16	16	25	38	43
21	UAI Urquiza	41	7	21	13	25	36	42
22	CA Ituzaingo	41	1	14	26	28	67	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Liniers	CA Ituzaingo
Real Pilar	1-2 L	0-0 D
UAI Urquiza	1-1 D	2-3 L
Villa Dalmine	1-1 D	1-3 L
Excursionistas	1-0 W	1-2 L
Arsenal de Sarandi	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Liniers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Liniers

WDDWLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
17/10	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
10/10	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
03/10	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
20/09	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
12/09	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
29/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-1	3	4	W

CA Ituzaingo

LLLDLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-3	2	2	L
18/10	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/10	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
05/10	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-3	1	4	L
26/09	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
19/09	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-3	1-3	3	3	L
12/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
08/09	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
29/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
25/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Liniers vs CA Ituzaingo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Liniers win (66%). Probabilities: Deportivo Liniers 66%, draw 23%, CA Ituzaingo 11%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Liniers vs CA Ituzaingo?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Deportivo Liniers 2.08 · CA Ituzaingo 0.76), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Liniers vs CA Ituzaingo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.