Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 02/11, 19:00

Prediction: Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Laferrere

Team pages: Defensores Unidos · Deportivo Laferrere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.83Total

Defensores Unidos0.83

Deportivo Laferrere1

1X2

29% 33% 38%

Defensores Unidos Draw Deportivo Laferrere

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Defensores Unidos 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWLWDLDW

Deportivo Laferrere 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLWDWW

Head-to-head

Defensores Unidos 1–2–2 Deportivo Laferrere (5 last)

Deportivo Laferrere1-0Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos4-1Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere2-0Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Laferrere1-1Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos0-0Deportivo Laferrere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores Unidos 1521 · Deportivo Laferrere 1536

	Defensores Unidos	Draw	Deportivo Laferrere
Our model	28%	35%	37%
Market	30%	31%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Laferrere: 2-2-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Defensores Unidos	Deportivo Laferrere
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.4	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	3.4 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.88

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:34 +8’	3.00	2.88	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores Unidos 1–2–2 Deportivo Laferrere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	1-0 HT 0-0	Defensores Unidos
05/05/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	4-1 HT 2-1	Deportivo Laferrere
01/12/17 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	2-0 HT 0-0	Defensores Unidos
24/03/17 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	1-1 HT 1-0	Defensores Unidos
09/09/16 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	0-0	Deportivo Laferrere

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	69	33	81
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	42	21	14	7	56	28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	48	33	72
4	Talleres Remedios	41	20	11	10	46	26	71
5	Atletico Camioneros	42	19	13	10	50	35	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	40	28	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	45	41	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	43	40	63
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50	52	58
10	Club Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39	35	57
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	41	46	51
11	San Martin De Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41	46	51
13	CSD Flandria	42	13	10	19	40	50	49
14	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	40	55	49
15	Argentino Merlo	41	12	11	18	37	44	47
16	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33	40	47
17	CS Dock Sud	41	11	14	16	41	49	47
18	Defensores Unidos	41	10	15	16	34	40	45
19	Deportivo Liniers	41	10	15	16	34	43	45
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	41	9	16	16	25	38	43
21	UAI Urquiza	41	7	21	13	25	36	42
22	CA Ituzaingo	41	1	14	26	28	67	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Defensores Unidos	Deportivo Laferrere
Club Comunicaciones	0-2 L	1-0 W
CS Dock Sud	3-0 W	2-1 W
Deportivo Merlo	0-0 D	1-1 D
Atletico Camioneros	0-0 D	2-1 W
Sportivo Italiano	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores Unidos

WDDWLWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
17/10	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
10/10	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
03/10	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
26/09	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
18/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
12/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	5	W

Deportivo Laferrere

WDDDLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	10	9	W
17/10	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	8	2	W
10/10	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
03/10	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
27/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
19/09	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	9	5	L
12/09	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	14	4	D
06/09	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	7	2	D
29/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
25/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Laferrere?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Laferrere win (38%). Probabilities: Defensores Unidos 29%, draw 33%, Deportivo Laferrere 38%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Defensores Unidos 0.83 · Deportivo Laferrere 1), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.