Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 02/11, 19:00

Prediction: Argentino Quilmes vs CA Brown de Adrogue

Team pages: Argentino Quilmes · CA Brown de Adrogue

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Argentino Quilmes0.66

CA Brown de Adrogue1.42

1X2

17% 28% 55%

Argentino Quilmes Draw CA Brown de Adrogue

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Argentino Quilmes 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDDDLW

CA Brown de Adrogue 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLDWDWDL

Head-to-head

Argentino Quilmes 1–2–0 CA Brown de Adrogue (3 last)

CA Brown de Adrogue2-4Argentino Quilmes
CA Brown de Adrogue1-1Argentino Quilmes
Argentino Quilmes0-0CA Brown de Adrogue

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Argentino Quilmes 1495 · CA Brown de Adrogue 1475

	Argentino Quilmes	Draw	CA Brown de Adrogue
Our model	16%	30%	54%
Market	17%	27%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Argentino Quilmes	CA Brown de Adrogue
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1	0.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.25

X3.40

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 1.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	1.53 → 1.65▲	Pinn 1.89 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
21:56 +9’	6.25	3.50	1.53
22:53 +11’	5.25▼	3.40▼	1.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:55 +10’	4.20	3.00	1.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Quilmes 1–2–0 CA Brown de Adrogue

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Brown de Adrogue	2-4 HT 0-2	Argentino Quilmes
08/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Brown de Adrogue	1-1 HT 0-0	Argentino Quilmes
14/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Quilmes	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Brown de Adrogue

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	69	33	81
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	42	21	14	7	56	28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	48	33	72
4	Talleres Remedios	41	20	11	10	46	26	71
5	Atletico Camioneros	42	19	13	10	50	35	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	40	28	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	45	41	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	43	40	63
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50	52	58
10	Club Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39	35	57
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	41	46	51
11	San Martin De Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41	46	51
13	CSD Flandria	42	13	10	19	40	50	49
14	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	40	55	49
15	Argentino Merlo	41	12	11	18	37	44	47
16	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33	40	47
17	CS Dock Sud	41	11	14	16	41	49	47
18	Defensores Unidos	41	10	15	16	34	40	45
19	Deportivo Liniers	41	10	15	16	34	43	45
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	41	9	16	16	25	38	43
21	UAI Urquiza	41	7	21	13	25	36	42
22	CA Ituzaingo	41	1	14	26	28	67	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Argentino Quilmes	CA Brown de Adrogue
Defensores Unidos	1-1 D	0-1 L
Club Comunicaciones	0-0 D	0-0 D
CS Dock Sud	0-0 D	1-0 W
Deportivo Merlo	1-0 W	0-0 D
Atletico Camioneros	0-1 L	3-0 W
Sportivo Italiano	0-2 L	0-0 D
San Martin De Burzaco	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Argentino Quilmes

LLLWDDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
17/10	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
10/10	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
03/10	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
27/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
20/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
13/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
06/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
29/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
25/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-3	7	7	L

CA Brown de Adrogue

LDDLDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
17/10	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/10	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
06/10	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
26/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
19/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
12/09	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
06/09	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
29/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
25/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Argentino Quilmes vs CA Brown de Adrogue?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Brown de Adrogue win (55%). Probabilities: Argentino Quilmes 17%, draw 28%, CA Brown de Adrogue 55%.

How many goals are expected in Argentino Quilmes vs CA Brown de Adrogue?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Argentino Quilmes 0.66 · CA Brown de Adrogue 1.42), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentino Quilmes vs CA Brown de Adrogue?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.