Football · Nigeria Premier League · 08/11, 16:00
Prediction: Warri Wolves FC vs Katsina Utd
Team pages: Warri Wolves FC · Katsina Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Warri Wolves FC1.37
Katsina Utd0.62
1X2
Warri Wolves FC
Draw
Katsina Utd
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Warri Wolves FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Katsina Utd
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Warri Wolves FC
4–2
Katsina Utd
(6 last)
- Warri Wolves FC2-0Katsina Utd
- Katsina Utd0-1Warri Wolves FC
- Katsina Utd1-0Warri Wolves FC
- Warri Wolves FC3-0Katsina Utd
- Warri Wolves FC2-0Katsina Utd
- Katsina Utd2-1Warri Wolves FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warri Wolves FC 1508 · Katsina Utd 1499
| Warri Wolves FC | Draw | Katsina Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| Market | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Warri Wolves FC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Warri Wolves FC | Katsina Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Warri Wolves FC 4–0–2 Katsina Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/26 Nigeria Premier League | Warri Wolves FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Katsina Utd |
| 24/08/25 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 0-1 | Warri Wolves FC |
| 30/05/21 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Warri Wolves FC |
| 13/01/21 Nigeria Premier League | Warri Wolves FC | 3-0 | Katsina Utd |
| 16/02/20 Nigeria Premier League | Warri Wolves FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Katsina Utd |
| 09/02/20 Nigeria Premier League | Katsina Utd | 2-1 | Warri Wolves FC |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Kano Pillars | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Bendel Insurance | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau FC | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Katsina Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Kun Khalifat FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 13 |
| 16 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Warri Wolves FC | Katsina Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Plateau United | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Kano Pillars | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Enyimba | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Inter Lagos | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Doma United | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Shooting Stars | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Niger Tornadoes | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Kwara United | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Rivers United | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warri Wolves FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Doma United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/09 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Katsina Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/10 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/09 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Doma United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warri Wolves FC vs Katsina Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Warri Wolves FC win (54%). Probabilities: Warri Wolves FC 54%, draw 30%, Katsina Utd 16%.
How many goals are expected in Warri Wolves FC vs Katsina Utd?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Warri Wolves FC 1.37 · Katsina Utd 0.62), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Warri Wolves FC vs Katsina Utd?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.