Football · Nigeria Premier League · 08/11, 16:00
Prediction: Abia Warriors vs Doma United
Team pages: Abia Warriors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Abia Warriors1.73
Doma United0.89
1X2
Abia Warriors
Draw
Doma United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Abia Warriors
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Doma United
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Abia Warriors
2–1–1
Doma United
(4 last)
- Doma United1-1Abia Warriors
- Abia Warriors3-0Doma United
- Abia Warriors2-0Doma United
- Doma United1-0Abia Warriors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Abia Warriors 1463 · Doma United 1503
| Abia Warriors | Draw | Doma United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Doma United (rating 1463 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Abia Warriors: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Abia Warriors | Doma United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.2 | 4.2 / 7.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Abia Warriors 2–1–1 Doma United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/24 Nigeria Premier League | Doma United | 1-1 | Abia Warriors |
| 13/01/24 Nigeria Premier League | Abia Warriors | 3-0 | Doma United |
| 21/05/23 Nigeria Premier League | Abia Warriors | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Doma United |
| 15/02/23 Nigeria Premier League | Doma United | 1-0 | Abia Warriors |
Standings · Nigeria Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enugu Rangers | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Kano Pillars | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rivers United | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Bendel Insurance | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 5 | Nasarawa United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau FC | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Sporting Lagos | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Katsina Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Kun Khalifat FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 13 |
| 16 | Kwara United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 17 | Enyimba | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Abia Warriors | Doma United |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lagos | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ikorodu City FC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abia Warriors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Kwara United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Rivers United Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/09 | Barau FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/09 | Ranchers Bees Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Doma United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/09 | Plateau United Nigeria Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Enyimba Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abia Warriors vs Doma United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Abia Warriors win (56%). Probabilities: Abia Warriors 56%, draw 26%, Doma United 18%.
How many goals are expected in Abia Warriors vs Doma United?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Abia Warriors 1.73 · Doma United 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Abia Warriors vs Doma United?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.