Football · Nigeria Premier League · 08/11, 16:00

Prediction: Nasarawa United vs Plateau United

Team pages: Nasarawa United · Plateau United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Nasarawa United1.6

Plateau United0.62

1X2

61% 25% 14%

Nasarawa United Draw Plateau United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Nasarawa United 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDWWWL

Plateau United 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWLDD

Head-to-head

Nasarawa United 3–1–2 Plateau United (6 last)

Nasarawa United2-1Plateau United
Nasarawa United1-0Plateau United
Plateau United0-0Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United3-2Plateau United
Plateau United2-0Nasarawa United
Plateau United1-0Nasarawa United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nasarawa United 1539 · Plateau United 1502

	Nasarawa United	Draw	Plateau United
Our model	60%	27%	13%
Market	62%	24%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nasarawa United: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nasarawa United	Plateau United
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/13/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 4.7	4.3 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.45

X3.70

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +5’	1.45	3.70	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nasarawa United 3–1–2 Plateau United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Nigeria Cup	Nasarawa United	2-1 HT 1-0	Plateau United
10/05/26 Nigeria Premier League	Nasarawa United	1-0 HT 0-0	Plateau United
14/12/25 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	0-0 HT 0-0	Nasarawa United
13/04/25 Nigeria Premier League	Nasarawa United	3-2 HT 1-0	Plateau United
24/11/24 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	2-0 HT 0-0	Nasarawa United
23/04/23 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	1-0 HT 1-0	Nasarawa United

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	10	6	3	1	16	10	21
2	Kano Pillars	13	4	8	1	16	13	20
3	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15	5	18
4	Bendel Insurance	11	6	0	5	18	16	18
5	Nasarawa United	11	5	2	4	11	10	17
6	Plateau United	11	4	4	3	18	14	16
7	Barau FC	11	3	7	1	13	10	16
8	Sporting Lagos	11	4	4	3	15	14	16
9	Niger Tornadoes	11	4	4	3	9	8	16
10	Katsina Utd	11	4	4	3	14	15	16
11	Shooting Stars	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
12	Doma United	10	4	3	3	13	13	15
13	Ikorodu City FC	11	3	5	3	15	13	14
14	Warri Wolves FC	11	3	4	4	7	8	13
15	Kun Khalifat FC	12	3	4	5	10	17	13
16	Kwara United	11	3	3	5	12	13	12
17	Enyimba	11	3	2	6	12	15	11
18	Abia Warriors	11	2	4	5	10	17	10
19	Ranchers Bees	10	2	3	5	11	14	9
20	Inter Lagos	11	1	3	7	6	17	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nasarawa United	Plateau United
Kano Pillars	0-2 L	4-0 W
Enyimba	1-0 W	0-2 L
Inter Lagos	2-0 W	2-0 W
Doma United	2-0 W	2-2 D
Shooting Stars	0-0 D	3-1 W
Niger Tornadoes	1-0 W	1-1 D
Kwara United	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nasarawa United

WLDLWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/10	Enyimba Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
18/10	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/10	Doma United Nigeria Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
04/10	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
27/09	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/09	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	–	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
06/09	Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	3	W

Plateau United

WDWDWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
24/10	Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/10	Sporting Lagos Nigeria Premier League	2-1	2-3	11	4	L
11/10	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	2-0	4-0	8	5	W
04/10	Enyimba Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
27/09	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	0-0	2-0	15	3	W
23/09	Doma United Nigeria Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
20/09	Shooting Stars Nigeria Premier League	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
13/09	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
06/09	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	10	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nasarawa United win (61%). Probabilities: Nasarawa United 61%, draw 25%, Plateau United 14%.

How many goals are expected in Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Nasarawa United 1.6 · Plateau United 0.62), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.