Prediction: ESM Kolea vs USM El Harrach
Team pages: ESM Kolea · USM El Harrach
- USM El Harrach2-1ESM Kolea
- ESM Kolea1-1USM El Harrach
| ESM Kolea | Draw | USM El Harrach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 28% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 28% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USM El Harrach (rating 1400 vs 1516).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ESM Kolea | USM El Harrach | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 14/71/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 3.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ESM Kolea 0–1–1 USM El Harrach
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Algeria Division 2 | USM El Harrach | 2-1 HT 1-1 | ESM Kolea |
| 19/12/25 Algeria Division 2 | ESM Kolea | 1-1 HT 1-0 | USM El Harrach |
Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GC Mascara | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 1 | USM Blida | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | RC Kouba | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | MC Saida | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | USM El Harrach | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 7 | ES Mostaganem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | ASM Oran | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | NA Hussein Dey | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | WA Mostaganem | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | WA Tlemcen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | ESM Kolea | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 6 |
| 13 | JSM Tiaret | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 5 |
| 14 | MC El Bayadh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | JRB Taghit | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| 16 | RC Arba | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ESM Kolea | USM El Harrach |
|---|---|---|
| GC Mascara | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| MC El Bayadh | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| RC Kouba | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: ESM Kolea (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ESM Kolea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | GC Mascara Algeria Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/10 | ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | USM Blida Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | RC Kouba Algeria Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | JS El Biar Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
USM El Harrach
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/10 | GC Mascara Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/10 | RC Arba Algeria Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 08/10 | RC Kouba Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | ASM Oran Algeria Division 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | US Chaouia Algeria Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | GC Mascara Algeria Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ESM Kolea vs USM El Harrach?
According to our model, the most likely result is an USM El Harrach win (52%). Probabilities: ESM Kolea 21%, draw 28%, USM El Harrach 52%.
How many goals are expected in ESM Kolea vs USM El Harrach?
The model expects 2.41 goals (ESM Kolea 0.88 · USM El Harrach 1.53), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ESM Kolea vs USM El Harrach?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.