Football · Algeria Division 2 · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: MO Constantine vs US Chaouia

Team pages: MO Constantine · US Chaouia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

MO Constantine1.16

US Chaouia1.07

1X2

37% 31% 32%

MO Constantine Draw US Chaouia

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

MO Constantine 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDWDLL

US Chaouia 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLDLWWLW

Head-to-head

MO Constantine 3–3 US Chaouia (6 last)

MO Constantine1-3US Chaouia
US Chaouia3-0MO Constantine
US Chaouia0-1MO Constantine
MO Constantine6-3US Chaouia
US Chaouia1-0MO Constantine
MO Constantine3-1US Chaouia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MO Constantine 1473 · US Chaouia 1520

	MO Constantine	Draw	US Chaouia
Our model	37%	32%	32%
Market	37%	31%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Chaouia (rating 1473 vs 1520).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MO Constantine	US Chaouia
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	3.2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X2.88

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45
X	3.00 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
2	3.75 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:21 +7’	1.95	3.00	3.75
13:12 +16’	2.45▲	2.88▼	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MO Constantine 3–0–3 US Chaouia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/26 Algeria Division 2	MO Constantine	1-3 HT 0-2	US Chaouia
20/12/25 Algeria Division 2	US Chaouia	3-0 HT 2-0	MO Constantine
19/04/25 Algeria Division 2	US Chaouia	0-1 HT 0-0	MO Constantine
07/12/24 Algeria Division 2	MO Constantine	6-3 HT 3-2	US Chaouia
29/11/24 Algeria Cup	US Chaouia	1-0 HT 1-0	MO Constantine
04/03/23 Algeria Division 2	MO Constantine	3-1 HT 1-0	US Chaouia

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSP Batna	8	5	2	1	11	5	17
2	USM Annaba	8	4	2	2	11	5	14
3	NC Magra	8	4	2	2	9	7	14
4	JS Azazga	8	4	2	2	9	7	14
5	MO Bejaia	7	4	1	2	9	5	13
6	AS Khroub	8	3	3	2	6	5	12
7	JSM Skikda	7	4	0	3	9	7	12
8	NRB Beni Oulbene	8	3	2	3	5	5	11
9	US Chaouia	8	3	2	3	6	9	11
10	Paradou AC	7	3	1	3	11	8	10
11	CA Batna	8	2	4	2	6	5	10
12	MO Constantine	8	2	4	2	7	9	10
13	NRB Teleghma	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
14	IRB Nezla	7	1	1	5	5	12	4
15	JS Djijel	7	0	3	4	2	8	3
16	CR Beni Thour	7	1	0	6	6	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MO Constantine	US Chaouia
Paradou AC	2-5 L	1-0 W
AS Khroub	0-1 L	0-0 D
NRB Beni Oulbene	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: US Chaouia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MO Constantine

LWDDWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	–	2-5	–	–	L
24/10	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/10	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
14/10	JS Azazga Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
09/10	IRB Nezla Algeria Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/10	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
26/09	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
18/09	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
02/05	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-5	1	1	L

US Chaouia

WLDLDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	JSM Skikda Algeria Division 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/10	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	15	6	L
17/10	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
13/10	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
09/10	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
02/10	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
26/09	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	7	10	L
18/09	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
20/05	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
16/05	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MO Constantine win (37%). Probabilities: MO Constantine 37%, draw 31%, US Chaouia 32%.

How many goals are expected in MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?

The model expects 2.23 goals (MO Constantine 1.16 · US Chaouia 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in MO Constantine vs US Chaouia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.