Football · Algeria Division 2 · 06/11, 15:00

Prediction: MO Bejaia vs USM Annaba

Team pages: MO Bejaia · USM Annaba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

MO Bejaia1.16

USM Annaba0.71

1X2

46% 32% 22%

MO Bejaia Draw USM Annaba

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

MO Bejaia 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWLWLWW

USM Annaba 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLDWD

Head-to-head

MO Bejaia 3–2–1 USM Annaba (6 last)

USM Annaba0-1MO Bejaia
MO Bejaia1-0USM Annaba
USM Annaba0-1MO Bejaia
USM Annaba1-1MO Bejaia
MO Bejaia0-0USM Annaba
MO Bejaia1-2USM Annaba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MO Bejaia 1559 · USM Annaba 1491

	MO Bejaia	Draw	USM Annaba
Our model	45%	34%	21%
Market	46%	31%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MO Bejaia (rating 1559 vs 1491).
H2H favours MO Bejaia: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MO Bejaia	USM Annaba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/50/17%	43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.5	1.6 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X2.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +18’	1.95	2.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MO Bejaia 3–2–1 USM Annaba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	0-1 HT 0-0	MO Bejaia
26/12/25 Algeria Division 2	MO Bejaia	1-0 HT 1-0	USM Annaba
11/01/25 Algeria Cup	USM Annaba	0-1 HT 0-0	MO Bejaia
19/03/22 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	1-1	MO Bejaia
04/12/21 Algeria Division 2	MO Bejaia	0-0 HT 0-0	USM Annaba
16/12/19 Algeria Division 2	MO Bejaia	1-2 HT 1-1	USM Annaba

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSP Batna	8	5	2	1	11	5	17
2	USM Annaba	8	4	2	2	11	5	14
3	NC Magra	8	4	2	2	9	7	14
4	JS Azazga	8	4	2	2	9	7	14
5	MO Bejaia	7	4	1	2	9	5	13
6	AS Khroub	8	3	3	2	6	5	12
7	JSM Skikda	7	4	0	3	9	7	12
8	NRB Beni Oulbene	8	3	2	3	5	5	11
9	US Chaouia	8	3	2	3	6	9	11
10	Paradou AC	7	3	1	3	11	8	10
11	CA Batna	8	2	4	2	6	5	10
12	MO Constantine	8	2	4	2	7	9	10
13	NRB Teleghma	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
14	IRB Nezla	7	1	1	5	5	12	4
15	JS Djijel	7	0	3	4	2	8	3
16	CR Beni Thour	7	1	0	6	6	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MO Bejaia	USM Annaba
AS Khroub	1-0 W	0-1 L
Paradou AC	2-1 W	2-1 W
CR Beni Thour	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MO Bejaia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MO Bejaia

WWDDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
24/10	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
19/10	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
15/10	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	JS Azazga Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
26/09	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/09	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	17	5	D
02/05	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
21/04	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

USM Annaba

LLWLWWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/10	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	2-0	2-1	2	1	W
17/10	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/10	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	4	L
09/10	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
02/10	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/09	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/09	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	0	3	W
09/05	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	0	0	L
02/05	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MO Bejaia vs USM Annaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MO Bejaia win (46%). Probabilities: MO Bejaia 46%, draw 32%, USM Annaba 22%.

How many goals are expected in MO Bejaia vs USM Annaba?

The model expects 1.87 goals (MO Bejaia 1.16 · USM Annaba 0.71), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in MO Bejaia vs USM Annaba?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.