Football · Algeria Division 2 · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: NA Hussein Dey vs ESM Kolea

Team pages: NA Hussein Dey · ESM Kolea

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

NA Hussein Dey1.55

ESM Kolea1.14

1X2

45% 28% 27%

NA Hussein Dey Draw ESM Kolea

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NA Hussein Dey 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWLWL

ESM Kolea 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

NA Hussein Dey 2–3–1 ESM Kolea (6 last)

ESM Kolea1-3NA Hussein Dey
NA Hussein Dey0-0ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea1-1NA Hussein Dey
NA Hussein Dey1-1ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea0-1NA Hussein Dey
NA Hussein Dey0-1ESM Kolea

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NA Hussein Dey 1478 · ESM Kolea 1426

	NA Hussein Dey	Draw	ESM Kolea
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NA Hussein Dey (rating 1478 vs 1426).
H2H favours NA Hussein Dey: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NA Hussein Dey	ESM Kolea
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/67/22%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:21 +7’	2.00	3.10	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NA Hussein Dey 2–3–1 ESM Kolea

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	1-3 HT 0-0	NA Hussein Dey
03/01/26 Algeria Division 2	NA Hussein Dey	0-0 HT 0-0	ESM Kolea
27/02/25 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	1-1 HT 1-0	NA Hussein Dey
22/10/24 Algeria Division 2	NA Hussein Dey	1-1 HT 0-0	ESM Kolea
24/02/24 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	0-1 HT 0-0	NA Hussein Dey
06/10/23 Algeria Division 2	NA Hussein Dey	0-1 HT 0-0	ESM Kolea

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GC Mascara	8	6	2	0	17	4	20
2	USM Blida	8	6	2	0	13	3	20
3	RC Kouba	8	5	3	0	17	3	18
4	ES Mostaganem	8	4	2	2	10	7	14
5	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	8	4	2	2	13	12	14
6	MC Saida	7	4	2	1	7	4	14
7	ASM Oran	8	3	3	2	11	5	12
8	USM El Harrach	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
9	ESM Kolea	8	3	0	5	11	15	9
10	NA Hussein Dey	8	3	0	5	9	14	9
11	WA Mostaganem	8	1	4	3	8	10	7
12	WA Tlemcen	7	2	1	4	6	10	7
13	JSM Tiaret	8	1	3	4	13	12	6
14	MC El Bayadh	8	0	4	4	2	8	4
15	JRB Taghit	8	0	1	7	2	25	1
16	RC Arba	6	1	1	4	5	13	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NA Hussein Dey	ESM Kolea
GC Mascara	1-5 L	2-4 L
USM Blida	0-3 L	0-1 L
MC El Bayadh	3-0 W	1-0 W
IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	2-3 L	1-3 L
RC Kouba	1-2 L	0-3 L
ES Mostaganem	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: NA Hussein Dey (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NA Hussein Dey

LWWLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-4	1-5	4	5	L
24/10	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
17/10	USM Blida Algeria Division 2	–	0-3	2	6	L
13/10	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2	0-0	3-0	6	5	W
09/10	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
03/10	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	12	L
26/09	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
19/09	JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
08/05	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
01/05	JS El Biar Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	2	L

ESM Kolea

LLLLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-2	2-4	5	7	L
17/10	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-3	6	4	L
13/10	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
09/10	USM Blida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
03/10	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
19/09	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
08/05	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
01/05	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
25/04	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NA Hussein Dey vs ESM Kolea?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NA Hussein Dey win (45%). Probabilities: NA Hussein Dey 45%, draw 28%, ESM Kolea 27%.

How many goals are expected in NA Hussein Dey vs ESM Kolea?

The model expects 2.69 goals (NA Hussein Dey 1.55 · ESM Kolea 1.14), with a 59% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in NA Hussein Dey vs ESM Kolea?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.