Football · Algeria Division 2 · 06/11, 15:00

Prediction: WA Tlemcen vs GC Mascara

Team pages: WA Tlemcen · GC Mascara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

WA Tlemcen1.01

GC Mascara1.17

1X2

31% 31% 39%

WA Tlemcen Draw GC Mascara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

WA Tlemcen 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDLLWL

GC Mascara 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDLDDWWWWW

Head-to-head

WA Tlemcen 2–2–2 GC Mascara (6 last)

WA Tlemcen1-1GC Mascara
GC Mascara0-1WA Tlemcen
WA Tlemcen2-2GC Mascara
GC Mascara2-0WA Tlemcen
GC Mascara2-0WA Tlemcen
WA Tlemcen1-0GC Mascara

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WA Tlemcen 1464 · GC Mascara 1557

	WA Tlemcen	Draw	GC Mascara
Our model	30%	32%	38%
Market	31%	30%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GC Mascara (rating 1464 vs 1557).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	WA Tlemcen	GC Mascara
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	2.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +2’	2.90	3.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · WA Tlemcen 2–2–2 GC Mascara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Algeria Division 2	WA Tlemcen	1-1 HT 0-1	GC Mascara
04/10/25 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	0-1 HT 0-0	WA Tlemcen
17/02/23 Algeria Division 2	WA Tlemcen	2-2	GC Mascara
08/10/22 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	2-0 HT 0-0	WA Tlemcen
14/04/18 Algeria Division 2	GC Mascara	2-0 HT 0-0	WA Tlemcen
11/11/17 Algeria Division 2	WA Tlemcen	1-0 HT 0-0	GC Mascara

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GC Mascara	8	6	2	0	17	4	20
2	USM Blida	8	6	2	0	13	3	20
3	RC Kouba	8	5	3	0	17	3	18
4	ES Mostaganem	8	4	2	2	10	7	14
5	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	8	4	2	2	13	12	14
6	MC Saida	7	4	2	1	7	4	14
7	ASM Oran	8	3	3	2	11	5	12
8	USM El Harrach	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
9	ESM Kolea	8	3	0	5	11	15	9
10	NA Hussein Dey	8	3	0	5	9	14	9
11	WA Mostaganem	8	1	4	3	8	10	7
12	WA Tlemcen	7	2	1	4	6	10	7
13	JSM Tiaret	8	1	3	4	13	12	6
14	MC El Bayadh	8	0	4	4	2	8	4
15	JRB Taghit	8	0	1	7	2	25	1
16	RC Arba	6	1	1	4	5	13	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	WA Tlemcen	GC Mascara
IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	2-3 L	2-0 W
ES Mostaganem	0-2 L	1-0 W
USM Blida	0-2 L	1-1 D
MC El Bayadh	0-0 D	0-0 D
RC Kouba	0-2 L	0-2 L
ESM Kolea	2-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GC Mascara (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WA Tlemcen

LWLWLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2	1-2	2-3	1	6	L
23/10	JRB Taghit Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
17/10	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
13/10	USM Blida Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
09/10	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
26/09	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
19/09	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
08/05	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
01/05	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
25/04	JS El Biar Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

GC Mascara

DDLDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	4-0	5-1	3	5	W
24/10	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	2-1	4-2	3	7	W
19/10	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/10	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-0	14	7	W
09/10	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	USM Blida Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
26/09	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/05	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
01/05	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
25/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	1	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WA Tlemcen vs GC Mascara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an GC Mascara win (39%). Probabilities: WA Tlemcen 31%, draw 31%, GC Mascara 39%.

How many goals are expected in WA Tlemcen vs GC Mascara?

The model expects 2.18 goals (WA Tlemcen 1.01 · GC Mascara 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in WA Tlemcen vs GC Mascara?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.