Football · Mali Premiere Division · 01/11, 19:30
Prediction: AS Bakaridjan vs Afrique Football Elite
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
AS Bakaridjan1.3
Afrique Football Elite0.82
1X2
AS Bakaridjan
Draw
Afrique Football Elite
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AS Bakaridjan
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Afrique Football Elite
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AS Bakaridjan
2–2–2
Afrique Football Elite
(6 last)
- Afrique Football Elite0-3AS Bakaridjan
- AS Bakaridjan1-1Afrique Football Elite
- Afrique Football Elite1-2AS Bakaridjan
- AS Bakaridjan0-2Afrique Football Elite
- AS Bakaridjan1-2Afrique Football Elite
- AS Bakaridjan0-0Afrique Football Elite
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AS Bakaridjan 1478 · Afrique Football Elite 1464
| AS Bakaridjan | Draw | Afrique Football Elite | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 31% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AS Bakaridjan | Afrique Football Elite | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.6 | 1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Bakaridjan 2–2–2 Afrique Football Elite
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Mali Premiere Division | Afrique Football Elite | 0-3 HT 0-1 | AS Bakaridjan |
| 11/01/26 Mali Premiere Division | AS Bakaridjan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Afrique Football Elite |
| 09/05/25 Mali Premiere Division | Afrique Football Elite | 1-2 | AS Bakaridjan |
| 16/01/25 Mali Premiere Division | AS Bakaridjan | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Afrique Football Elite |
| 27/04/24 Mali Cup | AS Bakaridjan | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Afrique Football Elite |
| 16/03/24 Mali Premiere Division | AS Bakaridjan | 0-0 | Afrique Football Elite |
Standings · Mali Premiere Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Kayes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | US Bougouba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Afrique Football Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AS Bakaridjan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AS Korofina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Bamako | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Binga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Centre Sportif de Bamako | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Derby Academie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Djoliba AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Diarra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Onze Créateurs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Stade Malien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | USFAS Bamako | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AS Bakaridjan | Afrique Football Elite |
|---|---|---|
| US Bougouba | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Stade Malien | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| AS Korofina | 0-1 L | 5-3 W |
| Real Bamako | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Diarra | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Binga FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS Bakaridjan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | US Bougouba Mali Premiere Division |
4-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Onze Créateurs Mali Premiere Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/06 | Stade Malien Mali Premiere Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | US Bougouba Mali Premiere Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | Djoliba AC Mali Premiere Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Afrique Football Elite Mali Premiere Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | AS Korofina Mali Premiere Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/04 | FC Diarra Mali Premiere Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Binga FC Mali Premiere Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Afrique Football Elite
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Derby Academie Mali Premiere Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | AS Korofina Mali Premiere Division |
3-1 | 5-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 05/06 | Real Bamako Mali Premiere Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/06 | FC Diarra Mali Premiere Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Binga FC Mali Premiere Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | AS Bakaridjan Mali Premiere Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | USFAS Bamako Mali Premiere Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Mali Coura Mali Premiere Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/04 | Stade Malien Mali Premiere Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | US Bougouba Mali Premiere Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AS Bakaridjan vs Afrique Football Elite?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Bakaridjan win (47%). Probabilities: AS Bakaridjan 47%, draw 31%, Afrique Football Elite 22%.
How many goals are expected in AS Bakaridjan vs Afrique Football Elite?
The model expects 2.12 goals (AS Bakaridjan 1.3 · Afrique Football Elite 0.82), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AS Bakaridjan vs Afrique Football Elite?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.