Football · Tanzania Premier League · 29/10, 12:00

Prediction: Pamba SC vs Singida Black Stars

Team pages: Pamba SC · Singida Black Stars

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Pamba SC1.31

Singida Black Stars1.62

1X2

29% 28% 43%

Pamba SC Draw Singida Black Stars

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pamba SC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLWDD

Singida Black Stars 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWLDL

Head-to-head

Pamba SC 0–3–3 Singida Black Stars (6 last)

Singida Black Stars3-1Pamba SC
Pamba SC1-1Singida Black Stars
Singida Black Stars2-2Pamba SC
Pamba SC0-1Singida Black Stars
Pamba SC0-1Singida Black Stars
Singida Black Stars1-1Pamba SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pamba SC 1441 · Singida Black Stars 1538

	Pamba SC	Draw	Singida Black Stars
Our model	30%	27%	44%
Market	28%	30%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Singida Black Stars (rating 1441 vs 1538).
H2H favours Singida Black Stars: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pamba SC	Singida Black Stars
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.1	3.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:07 +5’	3.20	3.00	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pamba SC 0–3–3 Singida Black Stars

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Black Stars	3-1 HT 1-0	Pamba SC
08/11/25 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	1-1 HT 0-1	Singida Black Stars
23/02/25 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Black Stars	2-2 HT 2-1	Pamba SC
17/09/24 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Singida Black Stars
12/02/22 Tanzania First Division	Pamba SC	0-1 HT 0-0	Singida Black Stars
09/10/21 Tanzania First Division	Singida Black Stars	1-1 HT 1-0	Pamba SC

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Simba Sports Club	8	8	0	0	19	4	24
2	Young Africans	9	7	1	1	19	5	22
3	Azam FC	8	5	2	1	13	7	17
4	JKT Tanzania	10	5	2	3	12	12	17
5	Dodoma Jiji FC	9	4	3	2	8	5	15
6	Polisi Tanzania FC	9	3	3	3	12	11	12
7	Namungo FC	9	4	0	5	9	12	12
8	Mashujaa FC	9	4	0	5	10	15	12
9	Singida Black Stars	8	3	2	3	14	11	11
10	Mbeya City	8	3	1	4	8	9	10
11	Coastal Union	9	3	1	5	8	13	10
12	Geita Gold	9	2	2	5	10	16	8
13	TRA United	8	1	4	3	6	7	7
14	Pamba SC	9	1	3	5	10	15	6
15	Kagera Sugar	9	1	3	5	9	17	6
16	Singida Fountain Gate FC	9	1	3	5	5	13	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pamba SC	Singida Black Stars
Polisi Tanzania FC	1-1 D	4-2 W
Singida Fountain Gate FC	1-1 D	3-0 W
Simba Sports Club	1-2 L	1-2 L
Dodoma Jiji FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Coastal Union	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Singida Black Stars (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pamba SC

LDLLLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
16/10	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
08/10	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	2-0	4-0	2	1	W
13/09	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	0-3	1-3	5	0	L
05/09	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	0-3	0-3	2	4	L
28/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
23/08	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
19/08	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	0-2	1-2	0	6	L
14/08	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
30/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Singida Black Stars

LLWDLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
09/10	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
09/09	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
01/09	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
29/08	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	3-2	4-2	9	2	W
22/08	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
19/08	Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
14/08	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/06	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	2-2	3-4	–	–	L
27/06	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pamba SC vs Singida Black Stars?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Singida Black Stars win (43%). Probabilities: Pamba SC 29%, draw 28%, Singida Black Stars 43%.

How many goals are expected in Pamba SC vs Singida Black Stars?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Pamba SC 1.31 · Singida Black Stars 1.62), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pamba SC vs Singida Black Stars?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.