Football · Tanzania Premier League · 02/11, 17:00

Prediction: Simba Sports Club vs Namungo FC

Team pages: Simba Sports Club · Namungo FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Simba Sports Club2.47

Namungo FC0.54

1X2

79% 15% 5%

Simba Sports Club Draw Namungo FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Simba Sports Club 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Namungo FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Simba Sports Club 4–2–0 Namungo FC (6 last)

Namungo FC1-3Simba Sports Club
Simba Sports Club3-0Namungo FC
Namungo FC0-3Simba Sports Club
Simba Sports Club3-0Namungo FC
Namungo FC2-2Simba Sports Club
Simba Sports Club1-1Namungo FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Simba Sports Club 1670 · Namungo FC 1485

	Simba Sports Club	Draw	Namungo FC
Our model	79%	15%	5%
Market	79%	15%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simba Sports Club (rating 1670 vs 1485).
H2H favours Simba Sports Club: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Simba Sports Club	Namungo FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.4	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7	2.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X6.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:06 +2’	1.17	6.00	17.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Simba Sports Club 4–2–0 Namungo FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	1-3 HT 1-2	Simba Sports Club
01/10/25 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	3-0 HT 1-0	Namungo FC
19/02/25 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Simba Sports Club
25/10/24 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	3-0 HT 2-0	Namungo FC
30/04/24 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Simba Sports Club
09/11/23 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	1-1 HT 0-1	Namungo FC

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Simba Sports Club	9	9	0	0	20	4	27
2	Azam FC	10	7	2	1	19	8	23
3	Young Africans	9	7	1	1	19	5	22
4	JKT Tanzania	11	5	2	4	13	14	17
5	Dodoma Jiji FC	10	4	4	2	8	5	16
6	Namungo FC	10	5	0	5	10	12	15
7	Singida Black Stars	9	4	2	3	15	11	14
8	Coastal Union	11	4	2	5	9	13	14
9	Polisi Tanzania FC	10	3	3	4	12	12	12
10	Mashujaa FC	9	4	0	5	10	15	12
11	Mbeya City	9	3	1	5	8	13	10
12	Geita Gold	10	2	3	5	11	17	9
13	TRA United	9	1	5	3	7	8	8
14	Pamba SC	10	1	3	6	10	16	6
15	Kagera Sugar	10	1	3	6	9	18	6
16	Singida Fountain Gate FC	10	1	3	6	5	14	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Simba Sports Club	Namungo FC
Singida Fountain Gate FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Young Africans	2-1 W	1-3 L
Azam FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Geita Gold	2-0 W	1-0 W
Coastal Union	1-0 W	2-1 W
Singida Black Stars	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Simba Sports Club (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Simba Sports Club

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/10	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	2-0	6-1	2	3	W
10/10	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
16/09	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
31/08	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	12	3	W
27/08	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	15	3	W
22/08	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
19/08	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	6	W
16/08	Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
30/06	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Namungo FC

LWWLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
24/10	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
08/10	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
11/09	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
07/09	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
01/09	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
29/08	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/08	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
18/08	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
15/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-3	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Simba Sports Club vs Namungo FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Simba Sports Club win (79%). Probabilities: Simba Sports Club 79%, draw 15%, Namungo FC 5%.

How many goals are expected in Simba Sports Club vs Namungo FC?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Simba Sports Club 2.47 · Namungo FC 0.54), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Simba Sports Club vs Namungo FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.