Football · Tanzania Premier League · 02/11, 14:15
Prediction: Mashujaa FC vs Pamba SC
Team pages: Mashujaa FC · Pamba SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Mashujaa FC1.39
Pamba SC0.92
1X2
Mashujaa FC
Draw
Pamba SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Mashujaa FC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Pamba SC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mashujaa FC
1–2–3
Pamba SC
(6 last)
- Mashujaa FC0-0Pamba SC
- Pamba SC2-1Mashujaa FC
- Mashujaa FC2-0Pamba SC
- Pamba SC2-2Mashujaa FC
- Pamba SC4-1Mashujaa FC
- Pamba SC2-0Mashujaa FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mashujaa FC 1484 · Pamba SC 1444
| Mashujaa FC | Draw | Pamba SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mashujaa FC (rating 1484 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Pamba SC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mashujaa FC | Pamba SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mashujaa FC 1–2–3 Pamba SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Tanzania Premier League | Mashujaa FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pamba SC |
| 17/10/25 Tanzania Premier League | Pamba SC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Mashujaa FC |
| 19/02/25 Tanzania Premier League | Mashujaa FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pamba SC |
| 21/09/24 Tanzania Premier League | Pamba SC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Mashujaa FC |
| 28/05/23 Tanzania First Division | Pamba SC | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Mashujaa FC |
| 06/11/21 Tanzania First Division | Pamba SC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Mashujaa FC |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba Sports Club | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
| 2 | Azam FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Young Africans | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Namungo FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Mashujaa FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | TRA United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Pamba SC | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 6 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
| 16 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mashujaa FC | Pamba SC |
|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Simba Sports Club | 1-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Polisi Tanzania FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Singida Black Stars | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Dodoma Jiji FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Singida Fountain Gate FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mashujaa FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/10 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 08/10 | Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/09 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
Pamba SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/10 | Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/10 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 08/10 | Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Azam FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/08 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mashujaa FC vs Pamba SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mashujaa FC win (47%). Probabilities: Mashujaa FC 47%, draw 29%, Pamba SC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Mashujaa FC vs Pamba SC?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Mashujaa FC 1.39 · Pamba SC 0.92), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Mashujaa FC vs Pamba SC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.