Football · Tanzania Premier League · 29/10, 14:00

Prediction: Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Simba Sports Club

Team pages: Singida Fountain Gate FC · Simba Sports Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Singida Fountain Gate FC0.63

Simba Sports Club2.15

1X2

10% 18% 73%

Singida Fountain Gate FC Draw Simba Sports Club

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Singida Fountain Gate FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Simba Sports Club 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Singida Fountain Gate FC 0–1–5 Simba Sports Club (6 last)

Singida Fountain Gate FC0-3Simba Sports Club
Simba Sports Club3-0Singida Fountain Gate FC
Singida Fountain Gate FC1-1Simba Sports Club
Simba Sports Club4-0Singida Fountain Gate FC
Simba Sports Club3-1Singida Fountain Gate FC
Singida Fountain Gate FC1-2Simba Sports Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Singida Fountain Gate FC 1438 · Simba Sports Club 1674

	Singida Fountain Gate FC	Draw	Simba Sports Club
Our model	9%	20%	72%
Market	10%	17%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simba Sports Club (rating 1438 vs 1674).
H2H favours Simba Sports Club: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Singida Fountain Gate FC	Simba Sports Club
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	2.2 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.8	3.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	3.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

19.00

X5.50

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:47 +25’	9.00	5.50	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Singida Fountain Gate FC 0–1–5 Simba Sports Club

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Fountain Gate FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Simba Sports Club
25/09/25 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	3-0 HT 2-0	Singida Fountain Gate FC
06/02/25 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Fountain Gate FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Simba Sports Club
25/08/24 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	4-0 HT 2-0	Singida Fountain Gate FC
12/03/24 Tanzania Premier League	Simba Sports Club	3-1 HT 3-0	Singida Fountain Gate FC
08/10/23 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Fountain Gate FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Simba Sports Club

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Simba Sports Club	8	8	0	0	19	4	24
2	Young Africans	9	7	1	1	19	5	22
3	Azam FC	8	5	2	1	13	7	17
4	JKT Tanzania	10	5	2	3	12	12	17
5	Dodoma Jiji FC	9	4	3	2	8	5	15
6	Polisi Tanzania FC	9	3	3	3	12	11	12
7	Namungo FC	9	4	0	5	9	12	12
8	Mashujaa FC	9	4	0	5	10	15	12
9	Singida Black Stars	8	3	2	3	14	11	11
10	Mbeya City	8	3	1	4	8	9	10
11	Coastal Union	9	3	1	5	8	13	10
12	Geita Gold	9	2	2	5	10	16	8
13	TRA United	8	1	4	3	6	7	7
14	Pamba SC	9	1	3	5	10	15	6
15	Kagera Sugar	9	1	3	5	9	17	6
16	Singida Fountain Gate FC	9	1	3	5	5	13	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Singida Fountain Gate FC	Simba Sports Club
Geita Gold	1-1 D	2-0 W
Pamba SC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Kagera Sugar	1-1 D	2-0 W
Young Africans	0-2 L	2-1 W
Mashujaa FC	1-0 W	6-1 W
Singida Black Stars	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Simba Sports Club (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Singida Fountain Gate FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
16/10	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
09/10	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
13/09	Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
31/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
28/08	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
25/08	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
18/08	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
14/08	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
30/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	2-2	4-3	–	–	W

Simba Sports Club

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	2-0	6-1	2	3	W
10/10	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
16/09	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
31/08	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	12	3	W
27/08	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	15	3	W
22/08	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
19/08	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	6	W
16/08	Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
30/06	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Simba Sports Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Simba Sports Club win (73%). Probabilities: Singida Fountain Gate FC 10%, draw 18%, Simba Sports Club 73%.

How many goals are expected in Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Simba Sports Club?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Singida Fountain Gate FC 0.63 · Simba Sports Club 2.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Simba Sports Club?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.