Football · Croatia 1.NL · 07/11, 16:30

Prediction: HNK Cibalia vs NK Croatia Zmijavci

Team pages: HNK Cibalia · NK Croatia Zmijavci

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

HNK Cibalia1.34

NK Croatia Zmijavci1.07

1X2

42% 29% 29%

HNK Cibalia Draw NK Croatia Zmijavci

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

HNK Cibalia 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWLLWW

NK Croatia Zmijavci 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWWLL

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia 3–2–1 NK Croatia Zmijavci (6 last)

HNK Cibalia4-0NK Croatia Zmijavci
HNK Cibalia4-0NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci0-1HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia0-0NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci2-1HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia3-3NK Croatia Zmijavci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HNK Cibalia 1531 · NK Croatia Zmijavci 1488

	HNK Cibalia	Draw	NK Croatia Zmijavci
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HNK Cibalia (rating 1531 vs 1488).
H2H favours HNK Cibalia: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HNK Cibalia	NK Croatia Zmijavci
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.3	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
22:24 +4’	2.15	3.10	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Cibalia 3–2–1 NK Croatia Zmijavci

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Croatia 1.NL	HNK Cibalia	4-0 HT 2-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
30/11/25 Croatia 1.NL	HNK Cibalia	4-0 HT 0-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
17/09/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	0-1 HT 0-1	HNK Cibalia
30/03/25 Croatia 1.NL	HNK Cibalia	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
02/03/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	2-1 HT 1-0	HNK Cibalia
05/10/24 Croatia 1.NL	HNK Cibalia	3-3 HT 0-2	NK Croatia Zmijavci

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mladost Zdralovi	11	6	2	3	13	10	20
2	NK Croatia Zmijavci	11	6	1	4	17	12	19
3	HNK Cibalia	11	5	4	2	12	10	19
4	HNK Segesta	11	5	3	3	17	13	18
5	Orijent	11	5	3	3	13	11	18
6	Jadran LP	11	4	5	2	18	14	17
7	Bijelo Brdo	11	5	2	4	14	12	17
8	NK Kustosija	11	4	4	3	11	10	16
9	Dinamo Zagreb II	11	5	0	6	17	16	15
10	NK Opatija	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
11	Karlovac	11	4	2	5	12	16	14
12	NK Sesvete	11	3	3	5	12	12	12
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
14	Hrvace	11	3	2	6	11	15	11
15	Vukovar 91	11	3	2	6	16	22	11
16	NK Dugopolje	11	2	4	5	14	19	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HNK Cibalia	NK Croatia Zmijavci
Dinamo Zagreb II	1-0 W	2-3 L
HNK Segesta	1-4 L	0-2 L
Mladost Zdralovi	1-2 L	3-1 W
NK Dugopolje	1-0 W	1-0 W
NK Sesvete	2-1 W	2-0 W
NK Kustosija	0-0 D	0-1 L
Vukovar 91	1-1 D	2-3 L
Orijent	0-0 D	1-1 D
Bijelo Brdo	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NK Croatia Zmijavci (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HNK Cibalia

DDDDWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
23/10	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	10	1	W
17/10	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-4	3	8	L
09/10	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
18/09	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
12/09	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
05/09	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
28/08	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	5	8	D

NK Croatia Zmijavci

WWDLLWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-1	2-3	2	6	L
24/10	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
18/10	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-1	1	6	W
11/10	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
27/09	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-0	8	8	W
20/09	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
13/09	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
06/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
02/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
28/08	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HNK Cibalia vs NK Croatia Zmijavci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Cibalia win (42%). Probabilities: HNK Cibalia 42%, draw 29%, NK Croatia Zmijavci 29%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Cibalia vs NK Croatia Zmijavci?

The model expects 2.41 goals (HNK Cibalia 1.34 · NK Croatia Zmijavci 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HNK Cibalia vs NK Croatia Zmijavci?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.