Football · Croatia 1.NL · 07/11, 12:45

Prediction: HNK Segesta vs NK Opatija

Team pages: HNK Segesta · NK Opatija

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

HNK Segesta1.63

NK Opatija0.92

1X2

53% 27% 20%

HNK Segesta Draw NK Opatija

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

HNK Segesta 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDLWWD

NK Opatija 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWDWWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HNK Segesta 1516 · NK Opatija 1484

	HNK Segesta	Draw	NK Opatija
Our model	53%	27%	20%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HNK Segesta	NK Opatija
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.2	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.40

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:58 +11’	1.67	3.40	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mladost Zdralovi	11	6	2	3	13	10	20
2	NK Croatia Zmijavci	11	6	1	4	17	12	19
3	HNK Cibalia	11	5	4	2	12	10	19
4	HNK Segesta	11	5	3	3	17	13	18
5	Orijent	11	5	3	3	13	11	18
6	Jadran LP	11	4	5	2	18	14	17
7	Bijelo Brdo	11	5	2	4	14	12	17
8	NK Kustosija	11	4	4	3	11	10	16
9	Dinamo Zagreb II	11	5	0	6	17	16	15
10	NK Opatija	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
11	Karlovac	11	4	2	5	12	16	14
12	NK Sesvete	11	3	3	5	12	12	12
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
14	Hrvace	11	3	2	6	11	15	11
15	Vukovar 91	11	3	2	6	16	22	11
16	NK Dugopolje	11	2	4	5	14	19	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HNK Segesta	NK Opatija
Karlovac	1-1 D	1-2 L
Mladost Zdralovi	3-1 W	0-3 L
NK Dugopolje	2-1 W	2-1 W
NK Sesvete	0-2 L	1-0 W
NK Kustosija	0-0 D	1-1 D
Vukovar 91	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HNK Segesta

LDLWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
24/10	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
17/10	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-0	4-1	3	8	W
11/10	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-3	13	4	L
27/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
18/09	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
12/09	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	4	7	W
05/09	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-2	3	8	L
02/09	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
28/08	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-2	7	2	L

NK Opatija

LWLLLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
24/10	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	3	3	W
16/10	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/10	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
27/09	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
19/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
11/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	2-0	2-3	3	5	L
06/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
02/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
29/08	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HNK Segesta vs NK Opatija?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Segesta win (53%). Probabilities: HNK Segesta 53%, draw 27%, NK Opatija 20%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Segesta vs NK Opatija?

The model expects 2.56 goals (HNK Segesta 1.63 · NK Opatija 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HNK Segesta vs NK Opatija?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.