Prediction: Union Magdalena vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
Team pages: Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena1-1Independiente Valle del Cauca
- Independiente Valle del Cauca0-2Union Magdalena
| Union Magdalena | Draw | Independiente Valle del Cauca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Magdalena (rating 1561 vs 1481).
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Magdalena | Independiente Valle del Cauca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Magdalena 1–1–0 Independiente Valle del Cauca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca |
| 30/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Union Magdalena |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Envigado FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 4 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Magdalena | Independiente Valle del Cauca |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Patriotas FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Magdalena (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Magdalena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/10 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/10 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/10 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 03/10 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
Independiente Valle del Cauca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/10 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/10 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 28/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Magdalena vs Independiente Valle del Cauca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Magdalena win (50%). Probabilities: Union Magdalena 50%, draw 28%, Independiente Valle del Cauca 23%.
How many goals are expected in Union Magdalena vs Independiente Valle del Cauca?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Union Magdalena 1.46 · Independiente Valle del Cauca 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Magdalena vs Independiente Valle del Cauca?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.