Football · Colombia Primera B · 04/11, 19:00

Prediction: Tigres FC vs Deportes Quindio

Team pages: Tigres FC · Deportes Quindio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Tigres FC0.81

Deportes Quindio1

1X2

29% 33% 39%

Tigres FC Draw Deportes Quindio

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Tigres FC 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDDDLD

Deportes Quindio 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLDWWW

Head-to-head

Tigres FC 1–5 Deportes Quindio (6 last)

Deportes Quindio2-0Tigres FC
Tigres FC0-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio1-0Tigres FC
Tigres FC0-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio2-1Tigres FC
Tigres FC2-0Deportes Quindio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1499 · Deportes Quindio 1551

	Tigres FC	Draw	Deportes Quindio
Our model	27%	35%	38%
Market	30%	31%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Quindio (rating 1499 vs 1551).
H2H favours Deportes Quindio: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tigres FC	Deportes Quindio
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.6	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.7	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:53	3.10	3.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 1–0–5 Deportes Quindio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/10/26 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	2-0 HT 1-0	Tigres FC
10/05/26 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportes Quindio
05/05/26 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	1-0 HT 1-0	Tigres FC
18/04/26 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportes Quindio
17/10/25 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	2-1 HT 1-1	Tigres FC
03/05/25 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Deportes Quindio

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportes Quindio	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
2	Real Cartagena	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
2	Tigres FC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
4	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tigres FC	Deportes Quindio
Real Cartagena	0-0 D	1-1 D
Real Soacha Cundinamarca	0-0 D	2-0 W
Barranquilla FC	2-2 D	1-4 L
Atletico Cali FC	3-0 W	1-0 W
Bogota FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Orsomarso	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigres FC

WDWDWDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
24/10	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	0	0	L
20/10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
15/10	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	2-2	7	6	D
08/10	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
04/10	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	15	4	D
22/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
14/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
11/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W

Deportes Quindio

DLLWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
24/10	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
20/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
16/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
12/10	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
06/10	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-2	1-3	7	7	L
14/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	11	9	L
09/09	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Deportes Quindio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Quindio win (39%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 29%, draw 33%, Deportes Quindio 39%.

How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Deportes Quindio?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Tigres FC 0.81 · Deportes Quindio 1), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Deportes Quindio?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.