Football · Colombia Primera B · 04/11, 02:30
Prediction: Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindio
Team pages: Real Cartagena · Deportes Quindio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Real Cartagena1.39
Deportes Quindio0.86
1X2
Real Cartagena
Draw
Deportes Quindio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Cartagena
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Deportes Quindio
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Cartagena
3–2–1
Deportes Quindio
(6 last)
- Deportes Quindio1-1Real Cartagena
- Real Cartagena2-1Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio0-0Real Cartagena
- Real Cartagena4-1Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio2-1Real Cartagena
- Real Cartagena3-0Deportes Quindio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Cartagena 1530 · Deportes Quindio 1545
| Real Cartagena | Draw | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Cartagena: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Cartagena | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Cartagena 3–2–1 Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Cartagena |
| 01/04/26 Colombia Primera B | Real Cartagena | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Quindio |
| 27/10/25 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Cartagena |
| 19/05/25 Colombia Primera B | Real Cartagena | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Deportes Quindio |
| 13/11/24 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Real Cartagena |
| 10/11/24 Colombia Primera B | Real Cartagena | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Quindio |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Cartagena | Deportes Quindio |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Barranquilla FC | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Patriotas FC | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Cali FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Orsomarso | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Cartagena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 20/10 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 08/10 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 30/09 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 20/10 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/10 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/10 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/10 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/09 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 09/09 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Cartagena win (49%). Probabilities: Real Cartagena 49%, draw 28%, Deportes Quindio 23%.
How many goals are expected in Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindio?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Real Cartagena 1.39 · Deportes Quindio 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindio?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.