Football · Serbia Super Liga · 01/11, 16:00

Prediction: FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Novi Pazar

Team pages: FK Radnicki 1923 · FK Novi Pazar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

FK Radnicki 19231.33

FK Novi Pazar0.99

1X2

44% 29% 27%

FK Radnicki 1923 Draw FK Novi Pazar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Radnicki 1923 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWLLWL

FK Novi Pazar 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDDLLW

Head-to-head

FK Radnicki 1923 1–2–3 FK Novi Pazar (6 last)

FK Novi Pazar1-0FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnicki 19230-0FK Novi Pazar
FK Novi Pazar1-1FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnicki 19232-3FK Novi Pazar
FK Radnicki 19232-0FK Novi Pazar
FK Novi Pazar2-0FK Radnicki 1923

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Radnicki 1923 1524 · FK Novi Pazar 1518

	FK Radnicki 1923	Draw	FK Novi Pazar
Our model	43%	30%	26%
Market	44%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Novi Pazar: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Radnicki 1923	FK Novi Pazar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.5	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +3’	2.10	3.30	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnicki 1923 1–2–3 FK Novi Pazar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Novi Pazar	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Radnicki 1923
23/11/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Novi Pazar
24/09/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Novi Pazar	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Radnicki 1923
10/05/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	2-3 HT 1-2	FK Novi Pazar
27/02/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Novi Pazar
04/12/24 Serbia Cup	FK Novi Pazar	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Radnicki 1923

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	13	12	1	0	33	4	37
2	Vojvodina	13	9	2	2	28	12	29
3	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	13	8	2	3	21	11	26
4	IMT Novi Belgrade	13	6	3	4	15	9	21
5	FK Radnicki 1923	13	6	2	5	19	16	20
6	FK Cukaricki	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
7	Mladost Lucani	13	4	6	3	12	18	18
8	FK Radnik Surdulica	13	4	5	4	17	17	17
9	FK Novi Pazar	13	4	4	5	13	14	16
10	Partizan Belgrade	13	4	2	7	21	24	14
11	OFK Beograd	13	2	5	6	14	23	11
12	FK Macva Sabac	13	2	4	7	9	21	10
13	Radnicki Nis	13	2	2	9	9	23	8
14	FK Zemun	13	1	3	9	7	25	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Radnicki 1923	FK Novi Pazar
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	1-2 L	2-0 W
FK Radnik Surdulica	1-0 W	0-1 L
Vojvodina	0-2 L	2-0 W
Crvena Zvezda	0-3 L	0-2 L
FK Macva Sabac	0-0 D	1-1 D
Radnicki Nis	1-1 D	2-0 W
IMT Novi Belgrade	2-1 W	1-2 L
Partizan Belgrade	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Novi Pazar (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Radnicki 1923

WWDDWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-2	1-2	8	7	L
23/10	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
17/10	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
10/10	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
19/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	2-2	5-3	4	5	W
12/09	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	3-0	5-0	8	6	W
05/09	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
29/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
22/08	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
16/08	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W

FK Novi Pazar

LWLDWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
18/10	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
11/10	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
19/09	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
12/09	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
04/09	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
29/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
23/08	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
17/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
08/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Novi Pazar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Radnicki 1923 win (44%). Probabilities: FK Radnicki 1923 44%, draw 29%, FK Novi Pazar 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Novi Pazar?

The model expects 2.32 goals (FK Radnicki 1923 1.33 · FK Novi Pazar 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Radnicki 1923 vs FK Novi Pazar?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.