Football · Serbia Super Liga · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Cukaricki

Team pages: IMT Novi Belgrade · FK Cukaricki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

IMT Novi Belgrade1.28

FK Cukaricki1.03

1X2

42% 29% 29%

IMT Novi Belgrade Draw FK Cukaricki

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

IMT Novi Belgrade 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLDWWL

FK Cukaricki 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDLDWW

Head-to-head

IMT Novi Belgrade 2–3–1 FK Cukaricki (6 last)

FK Cukaricki0-1IMT Novi Belgrade
FK Cukaricki1-1IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade1-3FK Cukaricki
FK Cukaricki1-1IMT Novi Belgrade
FK Cukaricki0-2IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade1-1FK Cukaricki

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IMT Novi Belgrade 1496 · FK Cukaricki 1493

	IMT Novi Belgrade	Draw	FK Cukaricki
Our model	41%	31%	28%
Market	42%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IMT Novi Belgrade: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IMT Novi Belgrade	FK Cukaricki
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.8	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +2’	2.20	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IMT Novi Belgrade 2–3–1 FK Cukaricki

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	0-1 HT 0-1	IMT Novi Belgrade
28/11/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	1-1 HT 1-0	IMT Novi Belgrade
27/07/25 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	1-3 HT 1-3	FK Cukaricki
12/05/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	1-1 HT 0-1	IMT Novi Belgrade
07/04/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Cukaricki	0-2 HT 0-1	IMT Novi Belgrade
09/11/24 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Cukaricki

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	13	12	1	0	33	4	37
2	Vojvodina	13	9	2	2	28	12	29
3	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	13	8	2	3	21	11	26
4	IMT Novi Belgrade	13	6	3	4	15	9	21
5	FK Radnicki 1923	13	6	2	5	19	16	20
6	FK Cukaricki	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
7	Mladost Lucani	13	4	6	3	12	18	18
8	FK Radnik Surdulica	13	4	5	4	17	17	17
9	FK Novi Pazar	13	4	4	5	13	14	16
10	Partizan Belgrade	13	4	2	7	21	24	14
11	OFK Beograd	13	2	5	6	14	23	11
12	FK Macva Sabac	13	2	4	7	9	21	10
13	Radnicki Nis	13	2	2	9	9	23	8
14	FK Zemun	13	1	3	9	7	25	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IMT Novi Belgrade	FK Cukaricki
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	0-1 L	1-2 L
FK Novi Pazar	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK Radnik Surdulica	1-0 W	1-3 L
Vojvodina	1-1 D	0-5 L
Crvena Zvezda	0-1 L	0-4 L
OFK Beograd	1-1 D	2-0 W
Mladost Lucani	2-0 W	2-2 D
FK Macva Sabac	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: IMT Novi Belgrade (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IMT Novi Belgrade

LDLWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
18/10	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
10/10	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
13/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
07/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
30/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
22/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
16/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
09/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L

FK Cukaricki

DWLLLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/10	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
10/10	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
20/09	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-2	0	7	L
12/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
05/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-3	1-3	6	6	L
29/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-5	12	4	L
23/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
15/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
09/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-2	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Cukaricki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IMT Novi Belgrade win (42%). Probabilities: IMT Novi Belgrade 42%, draw 29%, FK Cukaricki 29%.

How many goals are expected in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Cukaricki?

The model expects 2.3 goals (IMT Novi Belgrade 1.28 · FK Cukaricki 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Cukaricki?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.