Football · South Korea K League 1 · 08/11, 08:30
Prediction: Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
Team pages: Gangwon FC · Jeonbuk Motors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Gangwon FC1.15
Jeonbuk Motors0.93
1X2
Gangwon FC
Draw
Jeonbuk Motors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Gangwon FC
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Jeonbuk Motors
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gangwon FC
1–4–1
Jeonbuk Motors
(6 last)
- Gangwon FC1-1Jeonbuk Motors
- Jeonbuk Motors1-2Gangwon FC
- Gangwon FC1-1Jeonbuk Motors
- Gangwon FC0-0Jeonbuk Motors
- Gangwon FC1-2Jeonbuk Motors
- Jeonbuk Motors1-1Gangwon FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gangwon FC 1487 · Jeonbuk Motors 1517
| Gangwon FC | Draw | Jeonbuk Motors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gangwon FC | Jeonbuk Motors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangwon FC 1–4–1 Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 04/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 18/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 01/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 27/08/25 South Korea Cup | Gangwon FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 20/08/25 South Korea Cup | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1 · K-League 1 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 61 | 30 | 67 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 54 |
| 3 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 50 |
| 4 | Incheon Utd | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 35 | 49 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 33 | 49 |
| 6 | Gangwon FC | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 48 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gangwon FC | Jeonbuk Motors |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Incheon Utd | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Jeju SK | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Anyang | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 09/10 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangwon FC win (40%). Probabilities: Gangwon FC 40%, draw 30%, Jeonbuk Motors 29%.
How many goals are expected in Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Gangwon FC 1.15 · Jeonbuk Motors 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.