Football · South Korea K League 1 · 07/11, 06:00
Prediction: Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
Team pages: Jeju SK · Gwangju FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Jeju SK1.65
Gwangju FC1.24
1X2
Jeju SK
Draw
Gwangju FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Jeju SK
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gwangju FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jeju SK
2–1–3
Gwangju FC
(6 last)
- Gwangju FC0-1Jeju SK
- Gwangju FC1-2Jeju SK
- Jeju SK0-0Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC2-0Jeju SK
- Jeju SK0-1Gwangju FC
- Jeju SK0-1Gwangju FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gwangju FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeju SK | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeju SK 2–1–3 Gwangju FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jeju SK |
| 26/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Jeju SK |
| 01/03/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 02/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Jeju SK |
| 30/08/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 18/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1 · K-League 1 2026, Relegation Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeju SK | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 40 | 38 | 47 |
| 2 | FC Anyang | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 49 | 46 |
| 3 | Pohang Steelers | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | 43 |
| 4 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 34 | 5 | 20 | 9 | 34 | 42 | 35 |
| 5 | Bucheon | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 49 | 32 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 31 | 70 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeju SK | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Seoul | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Gangwon FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Bucheon | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Ulsan HD | 0-0 D | 4-3 W |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeju SK
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/10 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 18/10 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Gwangju FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/10 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeju SK win (46%). Probabilities: Jeju SK 46%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Jeju SK 1.65 · Gwangju FC 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.