Football · England League 1 · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Wycombe vs Burton Albion

Team pages: Wycombe · Burton Albion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Wycombe1.97

Burton Albion1.03

1X2

58% 24% 18%

Wycombe Draw Burton Albion

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Wycombe 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDLWDD

Burton Albion 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLLDDW

Head-to-head

Wycombe 3–3–0 Burton Albion (6 last)

Wycombe3-0Burton Albion
Burton Albion0-0Wycombe
Wycombe2-0Burton Albion
Burton Albion2-3Wycombe
Burton Albion1-1Wycombe
Wycombe0-0Burton Albion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wycombe 1529 · Burton Albion 1492

	Wycombe	Draw	Burton Albion
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	58%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wycombe: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wycombe	Burton Albion
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.2	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.24
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.54 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:35 +7’	1.57	3.90	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +386’	1.64	4.01	4.97
11:56 +73’	1.63▼	4.04▲	5.03▲
19:07 +32’	1.55▼	4.24▲	5.54▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wycombe 3–3–0 Burton Albion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 England League 1	Wycombe	3-0 HT 1-0	Burton Albion
13/12/25 England League 1	Burton Albion	0-0 HT 0-0	Wycombe
04/03/25 England League 1	Wycombe	2-0 HT 1-0	Burton Albion
22/10/24 England League 1	Burton Albion	2-3 HT 1-1	Wycombe
06/01/24 England League 1	Burton Albion	1-1 HT 0-0	Wycombe
19/08/23 England League 1	Wycombe	0-0 HT 0-0	Burton Albion

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huddersfield	12	7	4	1	24	11	25
2	Stockport	12	7	2	3	24	12	23
3	Bradford	12	6	4	2	10	5	22
4	Plymouth	13	7	1	5	21	19	22
5	Reading	12	6	3	3	25	13	21
6	Cambridge Utd	12	5	5	2	20	17	20
7	Oxford Utd	10	5	4	1	18	10	19
8	Sheff Wed	11	5	3	3	20	12	18
9	Mansfield	11	5	3	3	20	16	18
10	Luton	11	5	2	4	21	19	17
11	Burton Albion	13	4	5	4	18	19	17
12	Stevenage	11	4	3	4	15	11	15
13	Leicester	11	4	3	4	17	17	15
14	Wycombe	12	3	6	3	19	23	15
15	Leyton Orient	12	4	2	6	16	14	14
16	AFC Wimbledon	12	3	4	5	8	19	13
17	Doncaster	11	3	3	5	12	13	12
18	Milton Keynes Dons	11	2	6	3	12	18	12
19	Notts County	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
20	Blackpool	11	3	2	6	16	20	11
21	Peterborough	12	2	4	6	11	21	10
22	Bromley	11	2	3	6	10	26	9
23	Barnsley	11	2	2	7	11	21	8
24	Wigan	11	2	1	8	8	17	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wycombe	Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon	1-1 D	4-1 W
Cambridge Utd	2-2 D	2-2 D
Leyton Orient	3-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Burton Albion (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wycombe

LLDWWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
20/10	Cambridge Utd England League 1	1-0	2-2	9	4	D
17/10	Notts County England League 1	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
10/10	Luton England League 1	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
26/09	Reading England League 1	0-0	2-2	5	5	D
19/09	Wigan England League 1	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
12/09	Leyton Orient England League 1	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
05/09	Milton Keynes Dons England League 1	2-0	3-3	5	3	D
01/09	Sheff Wed England League 1	1-2	1-2	6	3	L
29/08	Stockport England League 1	1-2	1-5	5	0	L

Burton Albion

WDLDWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Leyton Orient England League 1	0-1	2-1	9	1	W
20/10	Bradford England League 1	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
17/10	Peterborough England League 1	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
10/10	Doncaster England League 1	0-1	0-1	12	5	L
03/10	Huddersfield England League 1	1-2	1-3	1	2	L
26/09	Plymouth England League 1	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
19/09	Mansfield England League 1	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
12/09	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
05/09	Cambridge Utd England League 1	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
02/09	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	2-1	4-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wycombe vs Burton Albion?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wycombe win (58%). Probabilities: Wycombe 58%, draw 24%, Burton Albion 18%.

How many goals are expected in Wycombe vs Burton Albion?

The model expects 3 goals (Wycombe 1.97 · Burton Albion 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wycombe vs Burton Albion?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.