Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 24/10, 20:00
Prediction: Villa Dalmine vs San Martin De Burzaco
Team pages: Villa Dalmine · San Martin De Burzaco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Villa Dalmine1.39
San Martin De Burzaco0.82
1X2
Villa Dalmine
Draw
San Martin De Burzaco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Villa Dalmine
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
San Martin De Burzaco
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villa Dalmine
1–2–2
San Martin De Burzaco
(5 last)
- San Martin De Burzaco0-2Villa Dalmine
- San Martin De Burzaco1-0Villa Dalmine
- Villa Dalmine1-1San Martin De Burzaco
- Villa Dalmine0-0San Martin De Burzaco
- San Martin De Burzaco1-0Villa Dalmine
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villa Dalmine 1486 · San Martin De Burzaco 1489
| Villa Dalmine | Draw | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Martin De Burzaco: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa Dalmine | San Martin De Burzaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa Dalmine 1–2–2 San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Villa Dalmine |
| 16/08/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 29/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 1-1 HT 0-0 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 04/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin De Burzaco |
| 16/03/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | San Martin De Burzaco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Villa Dalmine |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 31 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 47 | 29 | 69 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 42 | 26 | 68 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 32 | 67 |
| 6 | Villa Dalmine | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 39 | 27 | 65 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 62 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 62 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 40 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 57 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 49 | 52 | 55 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 41 | 45 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 40 | 43 | 50 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 53 | 48 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 45 | 47 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 33 | 41 | 45 |
| 16 | CSD Flandria | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 36 | 48 | 45 |
| 17 | Argentino Merlo | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 44 | 44 |
| 18 | Argentino Quilmes | 40 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 40 | 44 |
| 19 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25 | 37 | 43 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33 | 40 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 23 | 36 | 39 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 40 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 64 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa Dalmine | San Martin De Burzaco |
|---|---|---|
| Excursionistas | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Argentino Merlo | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Talleres Remedios | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Villa Dalmine (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
San Martin De Burzaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa Dalmine vs San Martin De Burzaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villa Dalmine win (50%). Probabilities: Villa Dalmine 50%, draw 29%, San Martin De Burzaco 21%.
How many goals are expected in Villa Dalmine vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Villa Dalmine 1.39 · San Martin De Burzaco 0.82), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa Dalmine vs San Martin De Burzaco?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.