Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: Real Pilar vs Deportivo Liniers

Team pages: Real Pilar · Deportivo Liniers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

Real Pilar1.21

Deportivo Liniers0.71

1X2

47% 31% 22%

Real Pilar Draw Deportivo Liniers

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Pilar 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWLWLD

Deportivo Liniers 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLLWDD

Head-to-head

Real Pilar 1–1–4 Deportivo Liniers (6 last)

Deportivo Liniers0-1Real Pilar
Deportivo Liniers1-0Real Pilar
Real Pilar1-3Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers1-1Real Pilar
Real Pilar1-2Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers1-0Real Pilar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Pilar 1522 · Deportivo Liniers 1502

	Real Pilar	Draw	Deportivo Liniers
Our model	47%	33%	21%
Market	48%	30%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Liniers: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Pilar	Deportivo Liniers
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.88
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.21 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:03 +2’	1.83	3.00	4.00
02:26 +16’	1.70▼	3.10▲	4.75▲
03:46 +7’	1.80▲	3.00▼	4.33▼
07:21 +21’	1.80	3.00	4.20▼
12:07 +6’	1.85▲	3.00	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:26 +153’	1.88	2.96	4.20
12:04 +9’	1.88▼	2.98▲	4.21▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Pilar 1–1–4 Deportivo Liniers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Pilar
15/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Pilar
21/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Real Pilar	1-3 HT 0-1	Deportivo Liniers
29/10/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-1 HT 0-1	Real Pilar
14/10/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Real Pilar	1-2 HT 1-0	Deportivo Liniers
14/07/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Pilar

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	40	23	9	8	64	31	78
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	40	20	13	7	53	26	73
3	Sportivo Italiano	40	19	12	9	47	29	69
4	Talleres Remedios	40	19	11	10	42	26	68
5	Atletico Camioneros	40	18	13	9	47	32	67
6	Villa Dalmine	40	17	14	9	39	27	65
7	Deportivo Armenio	40	17	11	12	42	38	62
8	Real Pilar	40	17	11	12	42	39	62
9	Club Comunicaciones	40	14	15	11	39	34	57
10	Deportivo Laferrere	40	14	13	13	49	52	55
11	San Martin De Burzaco	40	12	15	13	41	45	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	12	14	14	40	43	50
13	Deportivo Merlo	40	11	15	14	39	53	48
14	CS Dock Sud	40	11	14	15	41	45	47
15	Deportivo Liniers	40	10	15	15	33	41	45
16	CSD Flandria	40	12	9	19	36	48	45
17	Argentino Merlo	40	11	11	18	36	44	44
18	Argentino Quilmes	40	9	17	14	32	40	44
19	CA Brown de Adrogue	40	9	16	15	25	37	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	9	15	16	33	40	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23	36	39
22	CA Ituzaingo	40	1	14	25	27	64	17

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Pilar	Deportivo Liniers
UAI Urquiza	0-1 L	1-1 D
Villa Dalmine	2-0 W	1-1 D
Excursionistas	0-3 L	1-0 W
Arsenal de Sarandi	2-1 W	0-2 L
Argentino Merlo	1-0 W	1-2 L
Talleres Remedios	0-2 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Laferrere	1-1 D	2-2 D
CA Brown de Adrogue	2-0 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Armenio	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Pilar

WWDLWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
12/10	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	11	0	L
03/10	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	7	W
26/09	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
19/09	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
12/09	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/09	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
29/08	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
25/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
22/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Deportivo Liniers

LWDDWLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
10/10	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
03/10	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
20/09	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	6	7	L
12/09	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
06/09	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
29/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
22/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Pilar vs Deportivo Liniers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Pilar win (47%). Probabilities: Real Pilar 47%, draw 31%, Deportivo Liniers 22%.

How many goals are expected in Real Pilar vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Real Pilar 1.21 · Deportivo Liniers 0.71), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Pilar vs Deportivo Liniers?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.