Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 24/10, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Armenio vs Argentino Quilmes
Team pages: Deportivo Armenio · Argentino Quilmes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Deportivo Armenio1.14
Argentino Quilmes0.68
1X2
Deportivo Armenio
Draw
Argentino Quilmes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Armenio
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Argentino Quilmes
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Armenio
1–4–1
Argentino Quilmes
(6 last)
- Argentino Quilmes1-1Deportivo Armenio
- Deportivo Armenio1-2Argentino Quilmes
- Argentino Quilmes1-1Deportivo Armenio
- Argentino Quilmes1-1Deportivo Armenio
- Deportivo Armenio2-1Argentino Quilmes
- Argentino Quilmes1-1Deportivo Armenio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Armenio 1543 · Argentino Quilmes 1447
| Deportivo Armenio | Draw | Argentino Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 34% | 21% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.81 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Armenio (rating 1543 vs 1447).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Armenio | Argentino Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Armenio 1–4–1 Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 30/08/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 12/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 06/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 16/03/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 05/08/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Armenio |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 31 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 47 | 29 | 69 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 42 | 26 | 68 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 32 | 67 |
| 6 | Villa Dalmine | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 39 | 27 | 65 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 62 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 62 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 40 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 57 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 49 | 52 | 55 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 41 | 45 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 40 | 43 | 50 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 53 | 48 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 45 | 47 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 33 | 41 | 45 |
| 16 | CSD Flandria | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 36 | 48 | 45 |
| 17 | Argentino Merlo | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 44 | 44 |
| 18 | Argentino Quilmes | 40 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 40 | 44 |
| 19 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25 | 37 | 43 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33 | 40 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 23 | 36 | 39 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 40 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 64 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Armenio | Argentino Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores Unidos | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Club Comunicaciones | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CS Dock Sud | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Merlo | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Camioneros | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Sportivo Italiano | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| San Martin De Burzaco | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Villa San Carlos | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Armenio (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Armenio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/08 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Armenio vs Argentino Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Armenio win (47%). Probabilities: Deportivo Armenio 47%, draw 32%, Argentino Quilmes 22%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Armenio vs Argentino Quilmes?
The model expects 1.81 goals (Deportivo Armenio 1.14 · Argentino Quilmes 0.68), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Armenio vs Argentino Quilmes?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.