Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: CA Ituzaingo vs CSD Flandria

Team pages: CA Ituzaingo · CSD Flandria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

CA Ituzaingo0.86

CSD Flandria1.74

1X2

17% 27% 57%

CA Ituzaingo Draw CSD Flandria

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Ituzaingo 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLLLDD

CSD Flandria 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLDWW

Head-to-head

CA Ituzaingo 0–1 CSD Flandria (1 last)

CSD Flandria3-2CA Ituzaingo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Ituzaingo 1424 · CSD Flandria 1518

	CA Ituzaingo	Draw	CSD Flandria
Our model	17%	26%	57%
Market	16%	28%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Flandria (rating 1424 vs 1518).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Ituzaingo	CSD Flandria
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	5.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.50

X3.25

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50
X	3.30 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	1.55 → 1.48▼	Pinn 1.58 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:57 +8’	6.00	3.30	1.55
12:03 +9’	5.50▼	3.25▼	1.60▲
16:37 +11’	6.50▲	3.50▲	1.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:04 +2’	4.46	3.01	1.82
23:09 +42’	4.46	2.97▼	1.83▲
00:28 +7’	4.10▼	2.94▼	1.92▲
01:19 +2’	4.24▲	3.02▲	1.85▼
06:48 +54’	4.38▲	3.03▲	1.83▼
09:24 +18’	4.37▼	3.19▲	1.77▼
10:33 +99’	5.46▲	3.45▲	1.58▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Ituzaingo 0–0–1 CSD Flandria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	3-2 HT 1-0	CA Ituzaingo

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	40	23	9	8	64	31	78
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	40	20	13	7	53	26	73
3	Sportivo Italiano	40	19	12	9	47	29	69
4	Talleres Remedios	40	19	11	10	42	26	68
5	Atletico Camioneros	40	18	13	9	47	32	67
6	Villa Dalmine	40	17	14	9	39	27	65
7	Deportivo Armenio	40	17	11	12	42	38	62
8	Real Pilar	40	17	11	12	42	39	62
9	Club Comunicaciones	40	14	15	11	39	34	57
10	Deportivo Laferrere	40	14	13	13	49	52	55
11	San Martin De Burzaco	40	12	15	13	41	45	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	12	14	14	40	43	50
13	Deportivo Merlo	40	11	15	14	39	53	48
14	CS Dock Sud	40	11	14	15	41	45	47
15	Deportivo Liniers	40	10	15	15	33	41	45
16	CSD Flandria	40	12	9	19	36	48	45
17	Argentino Merlo	40	11	11	18	36	44	44
18	Argentino Quilmes	40	9	17	14	32	40	44
19	CA Brown de Adrogue	40	9	16	15	25	37	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	9	15	16	33	40	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23	36	39
22	CA Ituzaingo	40	1	14	25	27	64	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Ituzaingo	CSD Flandria
Argentino Quilmes	2-2 D	1-0 W
Defensores Unidos	0-1 L	1-0 W
Club Comunicaciones	2-2 D	1-1 D
CS Dock Sud	0-2 L	1-2 L
Deportivo Merlo	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Flandria (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Ituzaingo

DLLLDLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/10	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
05/10	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-3	1	4	L
26/09	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
19/09	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-3	1-3	3	3	L
12/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
08/09	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
29/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
25/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
22/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

CSD Flandria

WLWLWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
10/10	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
04/10	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	8	D
28/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
20/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
13/09	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	3	11	W
05/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
30/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
25/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-3	4	6	L
22/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Ituzaingo vs CSD Flandria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSD Flandria win (57%). Probabilities: CA Ituzaingo 17%, draw 27%, CSD Flandria 57%.

How many goals are expected in CA Ituzaingo vs CSD Flandria?

The model expects 2.6 goals (CA Ituzaingo 0.86 · CSD Flandria 1.74), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Ituzaingo vs CSD Flandria?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.