Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 24/10, 22:00
Prediction: UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos
Team pages: UAI Urquiza · Villa San Carlos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
UAI Urquiza1.47
Villa San Carlos0.46
1X2
UAI Urquiza
Draw
Villa San Carlos
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
UAI Urquiza
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Villa San Carlos
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UAI Urquiza
1–3–2
Villa San Carlos
(6 last)
- Villa San Carlos0-0UAI Urquiza
- Villa San Carlos3-0UAI Urquiza
- UAI Urquiza1-1Villa San Carlos
- UAI Urquiza1-0Villa San Carlos
- Villa San Carlos3-1UAI Urquiza
- UAI Urquiza0-0Villa San Carlos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UAI Urquiza 1492 · Villa San Carlos 1537
| UAI Urquiza | Draw | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 28% | 10% |
| Market | 63% | 25% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villa San Carlos (rating 1492 vs 1537).
- H2H favours Villa San Carlos: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UAI Urquiza | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UAI Urquiza 1–3–2 Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UAI Urquiza |
| 15/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 3-0 HT 1-0 | UAI Urquiza |
| 27/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | UAI Urquiza | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 29/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | UAI Urquiza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 10/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 3-1 HT 1-1 | UAI Urquiza |
| 16/07/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | UAI Urquiza | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 31 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 47 | 29 | 69 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 42 | 26 | 68 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 32 | 67 |
| 6 | Villa Dalmine | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 39 | 27 | 65 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 62 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 62 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 40 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 57 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 49 | 52 | 55 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 41 | 45 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 40 | 43 | 50 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 53 | 48 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 45 | 47 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 33 | 41 | 45 |
| 16 | CSD Flandria | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 36 | 48 | 45 |
| 17 | Argentino Merlo | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 44 | 44 |
| 18 | Argentino Quilmes | 40 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 40 | 44 |
| 19 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25 | 37 | 43 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33 | 40 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 23 | 36 | 39 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 40 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 64 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UAI Urquiza | Villa San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Villa Dalmine | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Excursionistas | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Arsenal de Sarandi | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Argentino Merlo | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Talleres Remedios | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Brown de Adrogue | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Villa San Carlos (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UAI Urquiza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 12/10 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 05/10 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UAI Urquiza win (62%). Probabilities: UAI Urquiza 62%, draw 26%, Villa San Carlos 11%.
How many goals are expected in UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos?
The model expects 1.93 goals (UAI Urquiza 1.47 · Villa San Carlos 0.46), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.